Oral

IASPEI Symposia » S10. Development, testing and application of earthquake forecasting models

[S10-1] Development, testing and application of earthquake forecasting models

Tue. Aug 1, 2017 4:30 PM - 6:00 PM Room 503 (Kobe International Conference Center 5F, Room 503)

Chairs: David Rhoades (GNS Science) , John Ebel (Boston College)

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4:30 PM - 4:45 PM

[S10-1-01] Prospective evaluation of the CSEP-Japan earthquake forecasts experiments

^○Hiroshi Tsuruoka, Naoshi Hirata (The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan)

4:45 PM - 5:00 PM

[S10-1-02] Using GNSS data to analysis the earthquake potential of Sichuan-Yunnan region, western China

^○Fan Wang, Peng Zhang, Zhanyi Sun (National Geomatics Center of China)

5:00 PM - 5:15 PM

[S10-1-03] Seismological and geodetic tools can jointly contribute to the understanding and prediction of earthquakes

Giuliano F. Panza^{1, 2, 3}, Antonella Peresan⁴, Fernando Sanso'^2,5, ^○Mattia Crespi⁶, Augusto Mazzoni⁶, Andrea Nascetti⁶ (1.Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 2.Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Rome, Italy, 3.International Seismic Safety Organization (ISSO) - www.issoquake.org, 4.CRS – Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e Geofisica Sperimentale, Trieste, Italy, 5.DICA - Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy, 6.Geodesy and Geomatics Division – DICEA – University of Rome La Sapienza, Rome, Italy)

5:15 PM - 5:30 PM

[S10-1-04] On what time scales can strain rates contribute to earthquake likelihood models?

^○David Rhoades, Bill Fry, Annemarie Christophersen (GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand)

5:30 PM - 5:45 PM

[S10-1-05] Reducing false alarms of annual forecast in the central China north-south seismic belt by reverse tracing of precursors (RTP)

^○Zhongliang Wu¹, Changsheng Jiang¹, Shengfeng Zhang^1,2 (1.Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 2.Earthquake Administration of Shandong Province, Jinan, China)

5:45 PM - 6:00 PM

[S10-1-06] Break of slope in earthquake size distribution and aseismic deformation rate

^○Peter Shebalin¹, Inessa Vorovieva¹, Clement Narteau², Sergey Baranov³ (1.Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Moscow, Russia, 2.Equipe de Dynamique des Fluides Geologiques, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Sorbonne Paris Cite, Paris Diderot University, Paris, France, 3.Kola Branch of the Geophysical Survey, Russian Academy of Sciences, Apatity, Russia)