1:45 PM - 2:00 PM
[AOS08-01] Decadal variability and predictability in the Southern Ocean - implications for interpreting recent observed trends
★Invited Papers
*Thomas L Delworth1, Liping Zhang1, Will Cooke1, Xiaosong Yang1 (1.GFDL/NOAA)
[EE] Oral
A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences) » A-OS Ocean Sciences & Ocean Environment
Sun. May 20, 2018 1:45 PM - 3:15 PM 301B (3F International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe)
convener:Takashi Mochizuki(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL), Yushi Morioka(海洋研究開発機構), Chairperson:Mochizuki Takashi(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Morioka Yushi(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)
Climate variability on seasonal-to-decadal timescale (e.g. ENSO, IOD, PDO, AMO) involves processes and multiple physical interactions among atmosphere, land, ocean and sea-ice. Many efforts have been made for understanding the underlying physical processes and its predictability, but there remain large uncertainties in model simulation and prediction results of the seasonal-to-decadal climate variability. This indicates that some important gaps still exist in our current knowledge which are not fully resolved in current climate models, for example, atmosphere-ocean-ice interaction, troposphere-stratosphere coupling, initialization, and role of anthropogenic forcings. This session aims to narrow the gaps in our knowledge and identify the unresolved issues for better understanding and prediction of seasonal-to-decadal climate variability. All the observations, theoretical, process-level and modelling research on seasonal-to-decadal climate variability and its predictability are greatly welcome.
1:45 PM - 2:00 PM
*Thomas L Delworth1, Liping Zhang1, Will Cooke1, Xiaosong Yang1 (1.GFDL/NOAA)
2:00 PM - 2:15 PM
*Lea Svendsen1, Noel S Keenlyside1, Ingo Bethke2, Yongqi Gao3, Nour-Eddine Omrani1 (1.Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen Norway, 2.Uni Research and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, , 3.Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway)
2:15 PM - 2:30 PM
*Wei Zhang1, Ben Kirtman1 (1.University of Miami - Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science )
2:30 PM - 2:45 PM
*Noel S Keenlyside1,2, Yiguo Wang2, Francois Counillon2,1, Ingo Bethke3, Panxi Dai4, Helene Langehaug2, Madlen Kimmritz2, Stephanie Gleixner1, Lea Svendsen1 (1.Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre, Norway, 2.Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Norway, 3.Uni Research, Norway, 4.Peking University, China)
2:45 PM - 3:00 PM
*Takahito Kataoka1, Hiroaki Tatebe1, Hiroshi Koyama1, Takashi Mochizuki1 (1.JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)
3:00 PM - 3:15 PM
*Yuhei Takaya1, Shoji Hirahara2, Yosuke Fujii1, Takahiro Toyoda1, Hiroyuki Sugimoto2, Chihiro Matsukawa2, Satoko Iwasaki2, Takuya Komori2 (1.Meteorological Research Institute, 2.Japan Meteorological Agency)
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