[A-AS05] 成層圏・対流圏過程とその気候への影響

[AAS05-P07] Selection bias of quasi-fixed-point observations in the ExUTLS and its impact on the seasonal record

*稲飯 洋一¹、町田 敏暢²、松枝 秀和³、澤 庸介³、坪井 一寛³、勝又 啓一^2,4、森本 真司¹、青木 周司¹、中澤 高清¹、藤田 遼^5,1 (1.東北大学、2.環境研、3.気象研、4.高千穂化学工業、5.Imperial College London)

キーワード：地球大気、観測

Fixed-point observations are essential for long-term monitoring of the atmospheric environment. However, some attention might be paid to the interpretation of seasonal variations appearing in the observational record, particularly for regions with large seasonal variations. In the extra-tropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (ExUTLS), the climatological tropopause height changes with season. This leads to a seasonal dependence of whether individual fixed-point observations are included in the stratosphere or the troposphere. In this study, using the reanalysis fields, quasi-fixed-point observations in the ExUTLS are simulated and categorized as being in the troposphere or stratosphere based on their position relative to the dynamic tropopause, to investigate seasonal tendencies of the categorization. The influence of these tendencies on seasonal variations of atmospheric composition in the categorized data is estimated. The seasonal cycles of CH₄, N₂O and SF₆ mixing ratios are found to change with the categorization method. In particular, the minimum values for these tropospheric tracers in observations categorized as stratospheric occur 1–2 months later than in uncategorized observations. This delay in stratospheric record is interpreted as the selection bias, that is, the air mass categorized as the stratospheric atmosphere biased to some specific meteorological situation due to the seasonal variation of ExUTLS meteorological field.