日本地球惑星科学連合2022年大会

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[J] 口頭発表

セッション記号 S (固体地球科学) » S-TT 計測技術・研究手法

[S-TT40] 最先端ベイズ統計学が拓く地震ビッグデータ解析

2022年5月22日(日) 13:45 〜 15:15 301A (幕張メッセ国際会議場)

コンビーナ:長尾 大道(東京大学地震研究所)、コンビーナ:加藤 愛太郎(東京大学地震研究所)、矢野 恵佑(統計数理研究所)、コンビーナ:椎名 高裕(産業技術総合研究所)、座長:長尾 大道(東京大学地震研究所)、加藤 愛太郎(東京大学地震研究所)、矢野 恵佑(統計数理研究所)

14:30 〜 14:45

[STT40-03] ガウス過程を用いたオイラーベクトル逆解析による水平速度場の推定

*岡崎 智久1、上田 修功1 (1.理化学研究所革新知能統合研究センター)

Estimation of continuous horizontal velocity and strain-rate fields from discrete geodetic data is fundamental to understand crustal deformation. For this purpose, various interpolation methods have been proposed. Many methods interpolate 2-D velocity vectors in a relatively small area under a flat Earth approximation (Shen et al. 1996; Sandwell & Wessel 2016; Okazaki et al. 2021). Several methods properly take into account a spherical Earth: interpolation of 2-D velocity on a sphere (Tape et al. 2009); modeling of angular velocity (Euler vector) to obtain velocity fields (Ward 1998; Kreemer et al. 2018).

Following the last approach, this study formulates an inversion problem of angular velocity from velocity data. The inversion problem is solved by a vector-valued Gaussian process. To apply a Gaussian process, the covariance function of velocity is derived from that of angular velocity. Because a 3-D angular velocity is modeled from a 2-D horizontal velocity, the 3N×3N gram matrix of N data has rank 2N . This rank deficiency is a characteristic of the Euler vector inversion.

This method is applied to GNSS data in Japan during 2006–2009 (Okazaki et al. 2021). The results show a reasonable velocity field with small residuals. Angular velocity rapidly changes around Shikoku and the Bungo channel, which would correspond to a strong coupling between the Eurasian and Philippine sea plates. The estimated strain-rate fields show a large-scale variation, while lack a small-scale variation at volcanos found in Okazaki et al. (2021). Additionally, the estimated strain rate is higher along Fukui–Nagoya, which may be a plate boundary between the Eurasia and North American plates, than along Fukui-Kobe, which is a portion of the Niigata–Kobe tectonic zone. These results imply that the Euler vector inversion method mainly extracts crustal deformation caused by plate interactions.