[A-AS07] [EE] Aerosol impacts on air quality and climate

[AAS07-01] Short-lived climate pollutant issues in the mitigation of the global warming

★招待講演

*中島 映至¹、大原 利眞²、増井 利彦²、竹村 俊彦³、芳村 圭⁴、五藤 大輔²、鈴木 健太郎⁴、S-12 サイエンスチーム (1.宇宙航空研究開発機構　地球観測研究センター、2.国立環境研究所、3.九州大学応用力学研究所、4.東京大学大気海洋研究所)

キーワード：global warming, short-lived climate pollutants, UNFCCC

The Paris agreement, adopted in the UNFCCC COP21 round, set the 2 degrees target and 1.5 degrees effort of global warming after the industrial revolution. These targets mean that the society has to pay significant efforts to reduce the long-lived greenhouse gases (LLGHGs) emission. Another problem is that the notable reduction of the surface temperature does not appear in the next two decades even with a substantial reduction of LLGHGs, because of the long lifetime of the LLGHGs. As one of other mitigation methods, a concept of the short-lived climate pollutants (SLCP), which include black carbon (BC) aerosols, tropospheric ozone, and methane, has been introduced by UNEP. According to the UNEP report for black carbon and tropospheric ozone, it will be possible to reduce the global surface temperature of about 0.5 degrees in a short period after substantial removal of SLCP emission. There are several mitigation initiatives along this idea, such as the UNEP Climate and Clean Air Coalition (CCAC), has been launched.
It is, however, there are several recent studies that the SLCP impact on the global surface temperature is not large, so that a careful analysis of the SLCP impact has to be made. We like to discuss this issue in this talk based on several past studies and results of the ERTDF S-12 project. Important subjects of the analysis are links between 1) air quality and SLCP emissions, 2) emission and mitigation technologies, and 3) SLCP concentration and the earth's climate change.