[H-RE18] [JJ] 再生可能エネルギーの効果的な利用に向けた地球科学データの活用

[HRE18-P02] 全天空カメラ画像からの空割合時系列データの抽出

*園田 哲平¹、小郷原 一智¹、畑中 裕司¹、砂山 渡¹ (1.滋賀県立大学)

キーワード：太陽光発電、全天空画像

Prediction of photovoltaic output is necessary to efficiently control photovoltaic systems. In order to make a prediction about the output, it is necessary to predict the variations of the sky conditions.Therefore, the purpose of this study is to prepare a system that can always continue to take sky images using an omnidirectional camera, and to develop algorithms for calculating the time series of the sky ratio.First, we take sky images once every minute by the camera and store them as JPEG images. Next, we train a classifier using R and B of some images. Finally, we calculate the sky ratio of images, which we did not use for the training, using the classifier.F-measure in the cases of cloudy day is >0.9 and that in the cases of clear day is approximately 0.9 at daytime. Although F-measure tends to decrease drastically in the images with dark sky at dawn and evening, we are able to extract variations in sky ratio over the observation period, especially accurately in cloudy and mostly sunny days.