JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017

講演情報

[EE] 口頭発表

セッション記号 M (領域外・複数領域) » M-IS ジョイント

[M-IS03] [EE] Future Earth - Implementing Integrated Research for Sustainable Future

2017年5月20日(土) 09:00 〜 10:30 201A (国際会議場 2F)

コンビーナ:氷見山 幸夫(北海道教育大学名誉教授)、高橋 嘉夫(東京大学大学院理学系研究科地球惑星科学専攻)、谷口 真人(総合地球環境学研究所)、春日 文子(国立研究開発法人 国立環境研究所)、座長:氷見山 幸夫(北海道教育大学名誉教授)、座長:taniguchi makoto(Research Institute for Humanity and Nature)

10:00 〜 10:15

[MIS03-05] Developing a Sustainable Agriculture Matrix on National Scales

★招待講演

*Eric A Davidson1Xin Zhang1 (1.Univ. of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Appalachian Laboratory)

キーワード:Agriculture, Sustainable Development Goals, Nitrogen, Land use

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) ratified by all member countries of the United Nations include: “End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture.” However, agricultural practices that promote food security and nutrition are not always practiced unsustainably, leading to deforestation, nitrogen pollution, water shortage, soil erosion, and other environmental and social concerns. Agriculture both contributes to and is affected by climate change and environmental degradation. Sustainable agriculture can contribute to the three pillars of sustainability: environment, society, and economy. Despite its importance, however, the definition of sustainable agriculture and the feasibility of measuring it remain elusive, in part because it encompasses both biophysical and socio-economic components that are poorly integrated.

To measure progress and to enable accountability of commitments, we initiated an interdisciplinary effort to develop an independent and transparent Sustainable Agriculture Matrix (SAM) that can be applied at national scales. First proposed by M. S. Swaminathan for agricultural research and policy in 1990, SAM is a collection of quantifiable indicators from environmental, social, and economic dimensions, selected according to the concepts of sustainability, data availability and quality, and the potential to evaluate trade-offs. For example, intensification of agricultural may spare land from deforestation, but may result in more water consumption, increased nitrogen pollution, and shifting from subsistence to cash crops.

Sustainability is commonly evaluated on farm-plot or regional scales, but locally sustainable practices may not improve environmental, social, and economic performances on a national scale, given the complex responses of markets, governments, and consumers. For example, management for higher yield and nitrogen use efficiency in an oil palm plantation may have unintended effects by creating incentives to replace other crops or to expand agriculture through new deforestation. Therefore, SAM must be calculated at a national scale, and it must also evaluate the role of international trade so that optimal solutions for sustainable agriculture on multiple scales can be assessed.

As a first step towards developing SAM, we developed the agricultural Sustainable Nitrogen Management Index (SNMI), based on data for two important efficiency terms in crop production, namely Nitrogen Use Efficiency (NUE) and land use efficiency (crop yield). NUE is positively related to the environmental performance of agricultural production by reducing nitrogen pollution, while crop yield is associated with the socio-economic performance of agricultural production and food security. SNMI calculates geometrically where a country’s current position is along normalized NUE and yield indices and the distance from a reference goal in a two-dimensional graphic. Those countries with both high yield and high NUE (low pollution) are ranked highest. SNMI score provides a useful metric for each country to track its own trajectory of progress toward the dual goals of increasing land use efficiency and nutrient use efficiency.

Much work is needed to comprehensively assess agricultural sustainability. Most importantly, we must go beyond biophysical indicators to include social dimensions in SAM, such as social welfare, equity, and systemic risk. These topics will be the focus of an upcoming interdisciplinary workshop supported by the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center in Annapolis, Maryland, USA. With contributions of social scientists and economists, we seek to enrich databases and understanding of the social and economic performances of agriculture on national scales using SAM, analyze the connections among the environmental, social, and economic dimensions of sustainable agriculture, and explore solutions for optimizing agricultural performance in all three dimensions.