[1H08-13] Performance Assessment and Scenario

[1H08] Geosphere Stability Project

(1)Analysis of uncertainties included in development of Geological-Evolutionary Models (GEMs)

*Toshiyuki Matsuoka¹, Hironori Onoe¹, Tetsuya Komatsu¹, Ken-ichi Yasue², Teruki Iwatsuki¹, Ryuji Takeuchi¹, Tomoko Kato¹, Eiji Sasao¹ (1. JAEA, 2. JAEA (pr.:AIT))

Keywords:Geosphere stability, Geological-Evolutionary Model, High-level radioactive waste, Geological disposal

JAEA have been developing the Geological-Evolutionary Models (GEMs) taking into account of long-term change of the geological environment in order to evaluate the geosphere stability.
This paper summarized the current status of R&D activities with analysis of uncertainties included in the geological model that is a base model of the GEMs.