[2C07-10] PRA 2

[2C10] Evaluation of Annual Probability of Tornado Missile Strike on Arbitrary Horizontal and Vertical Plates

*Yuzuru Eguchi¹, Takahiro Murakami¹, Soichiro Sugimoto¹, Yasuo Hattori¹, Hiromaru Hirakuchi¹ (1. CRIEPI)

Keywords:Tornado missile, Annual strike probability, Numerical analysis, Nuclear power plant

It is shown that annual probability of tornado-borne missile strike on arbitrary horizontal and vertical plate can be efficiently computed employing a mathematical feature that trajectories of a missile driven by randomly generated tornadoes are statistically equivalent to those of densely populated missiles driven by a single tornado.