no77-81

[81] A consideration of avoiding depopulation based on a biaxial analysis of settlement intention and migration avoidance

○Yuji Takeguchi^1,2, Soushi Suzuki¹ (1. Hokkai Gakuen University, 2. Hokkaido Development Engineering Center)

Keywords:depopulating, settlement intention, migration avoidance, biaxial analysis

Currently, we are facing depopulation in Japan. Although the population of the Sapporo metropolitan region in the Hokkaido prefecture has increased by 0.41%, the total population of Hokkaido has declined by 2.5% from 2015 to 2020. Issues regarding the concentration of populations in large cities may be directly linked to a weakening and/or loss of quotidian life activities and transportation facilities in depopulating, rural regions. Based on these circumstances, this paper aims to present a migration-avoidance policy for depopulating, rural regions. This paper particularly considers Shiraoi, a town in the Hokkaido prefecture with a significant population outflow to the Sapporo metropolitan region and other urban areas. We performed a biaxial analysis of settlement intention and migration avoidance. Moreover, we developed an effect analysis model for avoiding migration based on a questionnaire survey completed by inhabitants