インターナショナルセッション（口頭発表）
セッション記号 S （固体地球科学） » S-SS 地震学
2014年5月2日(金) 16:15 〜 17:30 419 (4F)
コンビーナ:*鶴岡 弘(東京大学地震研究所)、Schorlemmer Danijel(GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences)、平田 直(東京大学地震研究所)、座長:鶴岡 弘(東京大学地震研究所)
Modern earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models. Japan, California, New Zealand, and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such testing experiments under the auspices of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). These experiments are yielding a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about a wide variety of forecast models including statistical and/or physics-based models, their components, performance, and methods of testing. We would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand. In addition, evaluation methods of earthquake forecasting are discussed.
16:15 〜 16:30
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16:30 〜 16:45
*SCHORLEMMER Danijel1、HIRATA Naoshi2、ISHIGAKI Yuzo3、NANJO Kazuyoshi2、TSURUOKA Hiroshi2、BEUTIN Thomas1、EUCHNER Fabian4 (1.GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, 14473 Potsdam, Germany、2.Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-0032, Japan、3.Seismological and Volcanological Department, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo 100-8122, Japan、4.Institute of Geophysics, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland)
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16:45 〜 17:00
*BEUTIN Thomas1、LIUKIS Maria2、MAECHLING Philip2、MAK Sum1、SCHORLEMMER Danijel1、YU John2 (1.GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, 14473 Potsdam, Germany、2.Southern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles CA 90089, USA)
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17:00 〜 17:15
*HONG Tae-kyung1、LEE Junhyung1 (1.Yonsei University, Department of Earth System Sciences, Seoul 120-749, South Korea)
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17:15 〜 17:30
*ZHOU Hongjuan1、CAO Bingxia1、YU Haiyan1、QIAO Xiaolin1 (1.Harbin Institute of Technology at Weihai, China)
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