Session information

Oral

Symbol S (Solid Earth Sciences) » S-SS Seismology

[S-SS27] Earthquake prediction and forecast

Sun. May 24, 2015 10:00 AM - 10:45 AM 103 (1F)

Convener:*Junichi Nakajima(Research Center for Prediction of Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University), Chair:Kenji Maeda(Meteorological Research Institute)

This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches.

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10:00 AM - 10:15 AM

[SSS27-01] Statistical investigation of spatio-temporal densities of foreshocks to understand earthquake predictability

*Masashi KAMOGAWA¹, Rika TANAKA¹, Yoshiaki ORIHARA¹, Satoshi HASHIMOTO¹ (1.Dpt. of Phys., Tokyo Gakugei Univ.)

10:15 AM - 10:30 AM

[SSS27-02] Proper scoring systems available for probability forecasts targeting rare phenomena

*Yutaka HAYASHI¹ (1.Meteorological Research Institute)

10:30 AM - 10:45 AM

[SSS27-03] Physical interpretation and detection of anomalies associated with crustal processes leading to large earthquakes

*Kiyoshi SUYEHIRO¹, Selwyn SACKS², Tetsuo TAKANAMI², Paul RYDELEK², Deborah SMITH², Takahiro HATANO³ (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 2.Carnegie Institution of Washington, 3.Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo)

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