[S-SS27] Earthquake prediction and forecast

Sun. May 24, 2015 11:00 AM - 12:45 PM 103 (1F)

Convener:*Junichi Nakajima(Research Center for Prediction of Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University), Chair:Yutaka Hayashi(Meteorological Research Institute), Takao Kumazawa(The Institute of Statistical Mathematics)

This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches.

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11:00 AM - 11:15 AM

[SSS27-04] Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain

*Takao KUMAZAWA¹, Yosihiko OGATA¹, Kazuhiro KIMURA², Kenji MAEDA², Akio KOBAYASHI² (1.The Institute of Statistical Mathematicsa, 2.Meteorological Research Institute)

11:15 AM - 11:30 AM

[SSS27-05] Seismo-ionospheric precursor monitoring system based on near-real-time spaceborne and ground GPS observation

*Ho-fang TSAI¹, Jann-yenq LIU², Chia-hung CHEN¹, Yang-yi SUN², Tiffany HO³ (1.Department of Earth Sciences, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan, 2.Institute of Space Science, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan, 3.Taiwan Analysis Center for COSMIC, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan)