11:00 AM - 11:30 AM
★ [MIS02-07] Validation of pre-earthquake atmospheric signals and their connection with major seismicity
Keywords:earthquake forecasting, pre-earthquake signals, Thermal amomaly, GPS/TEC, radon, LAIC
Our validation include continuous retrospective analysis performed over two different regions with high seismicity- Taiwan and Japan for 2003-2011 .The retrospective tests show STIR and GPS/TEC anomalous behavior in advance for most of these events with false positives less than 25%. The prospective tests for Honshu and Hokkaido (Japan) started in 2014. Our initial test results suggest systematic appearance of STIR anomalies, one to several days in advance to major events, including the two largest earthquakes for that period - M7 of July 12, 2014 and M6.9 of Feb17, 2015 in Eastern Honshu. The proposed is multi-parameters approach and new observations could be further integrated into and the synergy of these parameters implying their connection with the earthquake preparation processes.