[H-DS19] Tsunami and Tsunami Forecast

Wed. May 25, 2016 10:45 AM - 12:15 PM 201A (2F)

Convener:*Yuichi Namegaya(Institute of Earthquake and Volcano Geology, Geological Survey of Japan, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology), Kentaro Imai(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Chair:Daisuke Inazu(UTokyo Ocean Alliance, The University of Tokyo), Tomohiro Takagawa(Port and Airport Research Institute)

This session discusses issues related to improving real-time and long-term prediction accuracy of tsunami, which include such as a better understanding of tsunami dynamics, new real-time tsunami
observing systems deployed in the open ocean and coastal waters, methodologies of more rapid and accurate prediction during tsunami emergencies, more extensive and accurate inundation maps, and long-term tsunami potential forecast.

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10:45 AM - 11:00 AM

[HDS19-07] Tsunami height prediction using multiple linear regression and L1 regularization

*Shin Murata¹, Yasuhiko Igarashi¹, Toshitaka Baba², Ken-ichiro SATO³, Takane Hori³, Masato Okada¹ (1.Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 2.Institute of Technology and Science, The University of Tokushima, 3.R&D Center for Earthquake and Tsunami, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

11:00 AM - 11:15 AM

[HDS19-08] GNSS-based height positioning derived from multiple ships for measuring and forecasting great tsunamis

*Daisuke Inazu¹, Takuji Waseda², Toshiyuki Hibiya³, Yusaku Ohta⁴ (1.UTokyo Ocean Alliance, The University of Tokyo, 2.Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, University of Tokyo, 3.Graduate School of Science, University of Tokyo, 4.Research Center for Prediction of Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University)

11:15 AM - 11:30 AM

[HDS19-09] Development of ensemble tsunami inundation forecasting method using ABIC

*Tomohiro Takagawa¹, Takashi Tomita¹ (1.Port and Airport Research Institute)

11:30 AM - 11:45 AM

[HDS19-10] Characterized Fault Models for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment in the Sagami Trough

*Tadashi Kito¹, Kenji Hirata², Hiroyuki Fujiwara², Nobuyuki Morikawa², Masaki Osada², Makoto Nemoto¹, Hisanori Matuyama¹, YASUHIRO MURATA³, Shinichi Akiyama⁴ (1.OYO Corporation, 2.NIED, 3.KOKUSAI KOGYO CO., LTD, 4.CTC)

11:45 AM - 12:00 PM

[HDS19-11] Construction of Fault Model for the Japan Sea Area based on the “Off Shore Fault evaluation Project”

Tsuneo Ohsumi¹, *Kimie Norimatsu², Hisanori Matsuyama², Hiroyuki Fujiwara¹ (1.NIED, 2.OYO Corporation)

12:00 PM - 12:15 PM

[HDS19-12] Underestimated fault models for 'maximum-class' tsunami in the Japan Sea, resulted from Irikura and Miyake (2001) scaling relation

*Kunihiko Shimazaki¹ (1.University of Tokyo)