3:30 PM - 3:45 PM
[AAS01-07] Influence of Fossil Fuel Emissions on CO2 Flux Estimates by Atmospheric Inversions
Keywords:Carbon cycle, CO2, Inverse modeling
Interannually varying a priori FF CO2 emissions were based on 1) CDIAC database, 2) EDGARv4.2 database, and 3) IEA database, with some modifications. Biosphere and oceanic fluxes were optimized. Except for FF emissions, other conditions were kept the same in our inverse experiments. The three a priori FF emissions showed ~5% (~0.3GtC/yr) difference in their global total emissions in the early 2000’s and the difference reached ~9% (~0.9 GtC/yr) in 2010. This resulted in 0.5–1 GtC/yr (average 2001–2011) difference in the estimated global total emissions for the ACTM inversions. Regional differences in the FFC emissions were relatively large in East Asia (~0.5 GtC/yr) and Europe (~0.4 GtC/yr). These a priori flux differences caused differences in the estimated biosphere fluxes in East Asia and Europe. Boreal North America and North Africa had less difference in FFC emissions but showed larger difference in estimated fluxes which might be affected by their neighboring regions.
Forward simulation results with the prior and posterior fluxes were compared with aircraft measurements over Japan by Tohoku University to validate the flux amplitudes and trends.
Acknowledgements. This work is supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (2-1401) of the Ministry of the Environment, Japan. We thank Ingrid T. van der Laan-Luijkx for providing IEA FF emission dataset.