日本地球惑星科学連合2016年大会

講演情報

インターナショナルセッション(ポスター発表)

セッション記号 H (地球人間圏科学) » H-DS 防災地球科学

[H-DS05] Landslides and related phenomena

2016年5月26日(木) 15:30 〜 16:45 ポスター会場 (国際展示場 6ホール)

コンビーナ:*千木良 雅弘(京都大学防災研究所)、王 功輝(京都大学防災研究所)、今泉 文寿(静岡大学農学部)、ペットレイ デイビット(東アングリア大学)

15:30 〜 16:45

[HDS05-P06] Relationship of local precipitation on the landslides over Nepal

*谷田貝 亜紀代1 (1.東京大学大気海洋研究所)

キーワード:APHRODITE precipitation, Nepal, Earthquake

Nepal is a mountainous country located between the Indian and Himalayan tectonic plates. In such a country, landslides represent a major constraint on development. Hence, various statistics related to the landslides are reported by local researchers as well as some international researchers. However, meteorological data over Nepal is not completely opened, so that relationship between local precipitation and the landslides are few. Since landslides occur by many factors in addition to precipitation (e.g. earthquake, soil wetness), it is important to clarify the background relationship between Nepali precipitation and landslides there.
We are investigating the relationship between precipitation, landslides and landslide fatalities using various sources. Regarding precipitation, we are developing APHRODITE-type rain-gauge based precipitation for the earthquake year 2015. While, here we show a preliminary result of APHRODITE precipitation over Nepal on 0.05 degree and landslide fatalities. Landslide and its fatalities data are based on Petley et al. (2007, Nat Hazards) and Disaster review (2014) issued by Ministry of Irrigation of Government of Nepal. The country-summed loss of lives by landslides are compared with APHRODITE’s high-resolution gridded precipitation over Nepal.
The result shows Nepali’s local monsoon precipitation (June- September) shows significant positive correlation over the western most part of Nepal, the central and eastern part of Nepal. On the contrary, a part of the western part of Nepal and the easternmost part of Nepal showed weak negative correlations. The Kathmandu area does not show a significant correlation. Since the disaster statistics are based on country-wide average, we need to further investigation between the local precipitation and the local landslides including floods. Further, after assembling the local precipitation data over 2015, we will show the precipitation condition before/after the earthquake in April 2015.