日本地球惑星科学連合2016年大会

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ポスター発表

セッション記号 H (地球人間圏科学) » H-DS 防災地球科学

[H-DS19] 津波とその予測

2016年5月25日(水) 17:15 〜 18:30 ポスター会場 (国際展示場 6ホール)

コンビーナ:*行谷 佑一(国立研究開発法人 産業技術総合研究所 活断層・火山研究部門)、今井 健太郎(国立研究開発法人 海洋研究開発機構)

17:15 〜 18:30

[HDS19-P08] 震源の破壊過程と波数分散性を考慮した2011年東北津波の数値計算

*鴫原 良典1樋渡 康子2 (1.防衛大学校、2.東京海洋大学)

キーワード:2011東北津波、津波数値解析

The 2011 Tohoku earthquake tsunami gave us a lot of physical data to study the generation process of mega-tsunami. After this event, tsunami scientists tried to make an initial tsunami source model by using tsunami waveform inversion analysis, so that some of models are used for the tsunami damage estimation in practice. Although a number of seismic source models also have been derived by seismologists by using geodetic data, teleseismic data and strong motion data, few studies used their models for the tsunami simulation. It is generally believed that fault models, which are determined by the tsunami inversion analysis and by the seismic inversion analysis, do not correspond with each other, however a series of phenomena such as earthquakes and tsunamis should be expressed as a single model. In this study, we conducted a numerical simulation of the 2011 Tohoku tsunami using the seismic source model, and discuss an importance of considering rupture processes of seafloor motion and wave dispersion effects of tsunami propagation.
In order to describe tsunami generation from detailed seafloor deformation, we adopted the seismic source model by Yagi and Fukahata (2011), which is estimated the rupture process from teleseismic P-wave data using the newly inverse method that takes into account the uncertainty of the Green’s function. This model provides rupture velocity and rise time to prescribe kinematic seafloor deformation with the planar fault model of Mansinha and Smylie (1971). Tsunami waves are computed using the dispersion potential model (Shigihara and Fujima, 2014), which is based on the staggered leap-frog implicit scheme; dispersive terms in the equation of motion is solved separately. The grid nesting method that we newly developed for the dispersion potential model are used for the bathymetry dataset with three levels of grid resolution (1350m, 450m and 150 m). The computed results were compared to the time history of the sea surface elevation observed at GPS buoys where are located along off the Sanriku coast. Considering the rupture velocity and the rise time makes the tsunami generation process slowly, and contributes the reproducibility of overall wave profiles. In addition, the wave dispersion effects on decrease of the leading wave height. The computed results agree well with observation, we found that both of the physical processes, that is the rupture process of the seafloor and the dispersion effect, must be considered if we want to simulate tsunami propagation using the seismic source model precisely.