[S-SS13] Earthquake prediction and forecast

Thu. May 24, 2018 1:45 PM - 3:15 PM A09 (Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall)

convener:Toshitaka Baba(Graduate School of Science and Technology, Tokushima University), Chairperson:Imoto Masajiro, Katsumata Kei

This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches.

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1:45 PM - 2:00 PM

[SSS13-01] Soil Gas Monitoring for Earthquake Precursory in Taiwan

*Vivek Walia¹, Arvind Kumar¹, Ching-Chou Fu², Shih-Jung Lin¹, Kuo-Liang Wen^1,3 (1.National Center for Research on Earthquake Engineering, NARL, Taipei, Taiwan, 2.Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taiwan, 3.Department of Earth Sciences and Institute of Geophysics, National Central University, Jhongli-32054, Taiwan)

2:00 PM - 2:15 PM

[SSS13-02] Deformation behavior of an asperity prior to its fracturing expected from a fault zone model

*Kiyohiko Yamamoto

2:15 PM - 2:30 PM

[SSS13-03] Recent anomalous groundwater temperature and water level changes at the frontier land zone for impending great earthquakes at the Nankai trough

*Tameshige Tsukuda¹ (1.none)

2:30 PM - 2:45 PM

[SSS13-04] Long-term earthquake forecast based on the seismic quiescence: trials in the Kurile, the Tohoku, and the Izu-Bonin subduction zones

*Kei Katsumata¹, Masao Nakatani² (1.Institute of Seismology and Volcanology, Hokkaido University, 2.Earthquake Research Institute, the University of Tokyo)

2:45 PM - 3:00 PM

[SSS13-05] The 3-stage earthquake generation process observed during 3 months before the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (3)

*Yoshiki SUE¹ (1.none)

3:00 PM - 3:15 PM

[SSS13-06] Long-term Probability of a Great Earthquake along the Kurile Trench, Hokkaido Japan

*Masajiro Imoto¹, Nobuyuki Morikawa¹, Hiroyuki Fujiwara¹ (1.National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience)

Session information