[S-SS09] Earthquake prediction and forecast

Wed. May 29, 2019 5:15 PM - 6:30 PM Poster Hall (International Exhibition Hall8, Makuhari Messe)

convener:Masayuki Obayashi(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Toshitaka Baba(Graduate School of Science and Technology, Tokushima University)

This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches.

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[SSS09-P01] A method to ditect seismic precursors

*Kozo Takahashi

[SSS09-P02] Difference of foreshock characteristics between real data and synthetic ETAS catalogs: through the application of an empirical earthquake forecast model based on foreshocks

*Fuyuki Hirose¹, Koji Tamaribuchi¹, Kenji Maeda² (1.Seismology and Tsunami Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute, 2.Seismology and Volcanology Department, Japan Meteorological Agency)

[SSS09-P03] The increase in missing waveform images of the F-net broadband seismograph network preceding the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (2)

*Yoshiki SUE¹ (1.none)

[SSS09-P04] On the b-value of the OBS seismic observation around the Suruga Bay Senoumi

*Taiyo Sotani¹, Hisatoshi Baba⁴, Takahito Nishimiya², Nakao Nagisa¹, Toshiyasu Nagao³ (1.Toukai Univrsity, 2.Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, 3.Institute of Oceanic Research and development, Tokai University, 4.Department of Marine and Earth Science, Tokai University)

[SSS09-P05] Trial Result of Long-term Occurrence Probabilities with The Moderate Repeating Earthquakes Using The Lognormal Distribution Model with Bayesian Approach

*Masayuki Tanaka¹ (1.Meteorological Research Institute)

[SSS09-P06] Structural heterogeneity under the 2018 Mw6.6 Eastern Iburi earthquake in Hokkaido, Japan and its implications for rupture initiations

*ZHI WANG¹ (1.Key Laboratory of Marginal Sea Geology at South China Sea Institute of Oceanology of CAS of China)

Session information