[AOS09-P06] 潮汐18.6年周期振動が太平洋十年規模振動(PDO)に及ぼす影響
キーワード:潮汐18.6年周期振動、太平洋十年規模振動
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is the most dominant decadal-inter-decadal ocean-climate variability over the North Pacific; however, the periodicity and cause have not been fully understood. Previous studies suggested that 18.6-year period lunar tidal cycle (T18.6) regulate bi-decadal PDO variability through changes in the strength of diapycnal mixing of ocean around the Kuril Islands to result in ocean variability, together with air-sea interactions in the mid-latitude North Pacific and/or equatorial Pacific. In the present study, 297yr-long reconstructed PDO timeseries was re-examined, and 27.9yr (3/2 times 18.6-yr, henceforth, T27.9) period variability was significantly detected, and the zero-crossing from minus to plus was found to occur simultaneously with T18.6 variability in the interval of 55.4 years (3 times T18.6). In the PDO spectrum, a broad multi-decadal 50-80-yr peak (corresponding to 3-5 times T18.6, henceforth TM) was also detected with the zero-crossing synchronized with T18.6; this is the extension of previous studies during 1900-2000 back to 1700s on the synchronous changes of bi-decadal and penta-decadal variabilities. These T18.6, T27.9 and TM explain 71% of the 10-year low-passed PDO variability. These imply that the 27.9-yr and the multi-decadal variabilities could be related to T18.6 tide-induced variability, and may be excited by T18.6 tidal forcing, considering that external periodic forcing for delayed oscillator models could excite 3 times period of the external forcing and some non-linear processes may make the half-period variability.