A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-AS Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment
[A-AS12] Weather and climate extremes in East Asian monsoon system: mechanism, predictability, and projection
Weather and climate extremes have happened in sequence with similar characteristics, such as long-lasting drought and severe forest fire. Recently, the succession of two extreme yet opposite characteristics occurring in close proximity, such as the 2018 Japan severe flood followed by record-breaking heat wave, calls for a closer look at the synoptic-climate, which is largely linked to the East Asian Summer Monsoon system. From Europe to Asia, heat waves and severe thunderstorms can happen in rapid succession as well, modulated by a quick phase change of the meandering yet semi-stationary short waves. The changing climate may or may not affect all those circulation ingredients, making extreme-event attribution analysis difficult. However, in-depth understanding of the mechanism and its lifecycle is critically important to disaster mitigation and water security in warming climate. This session calls for recent advancement in combining the mesoscale, synoptic-scale, and large-scale diagnostics and modeling towards understanding mechanism, prediction and its future with a focus on weather and climate extremes particularly in East Asian monsoon system.
*Ke Xu1 (1. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences)
*ATSUYOSHI MANDA1, Satoshi Iizuka2, Hisashi Nakamura3, Takafumi Miyasaka4,5,3 (1.Mie University, 2.National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, 3.The University of Tokyo, 4.Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, 5.Meteorological Research Institute)
*BO YU1, Jia DU1, Ruixin LIU1, Yujue LIU2, Ziming LI3, Luyang XU1 (1.Beijing Municipal Weather Forecast Center, 2.Institute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorology Administration, 3.Environmental Meteorology Forecast Center of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei)
*Hyungjun Kim1, Gavin Madakumbura2, Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang3, JinHo Yoon4 (1.The Univ. of Tokyo, 2.University of California, Los Angeles, 3.Utah State University, 4.Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology)