A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-CG Complex & General
[A-CG52] Large Ensemble Modeling Approaches as Tools for Climate and Impacts Research
convener:Rodgers Keith Bradley(IBS Center for Climate Physics), Shoshiro Minobe(Graduate School of Science, Hokkaido University), Hideo Shiogama(Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies), Ryo Mizuta(Meteorological Research Institute)
Large ensemble model simulations are now integral tools for evaluating climate variability, climate change, and associated impacts. The range of tools applied encompasses Earth System Models (ESMs), Coupled General Circulation Models (CGCMs), Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs), Ocean General Circulation Models (OGCMs), and Regional Climate Models (RCMs), with the number of ensemble members typically spanning ten to several tens to one hundred. In addition to their utility in identifying emergent forced trends, they are also proving to be of great value in the study of extreme events and how extreme events evolve under anthropogenic perturbations. Furthermore, large ensembles of AGCMs nd OGCMs can prove invaluable as complements to fully coupled models in providing insights into scales and drivers of variability and trends, as well as climate feedbacks.
This session welcomes studies using the full range of large ensemble modeling tools. This includes studies of emergent trends and extreme events, and more generally studies that facilitate interpretation of observations as well as projections of future changes. Abstracts are particularly welcomed that address novel and emergent topics, including but not limited to compound events, biogeochemistry, and observing system design.
*Hideo Shiogama1 (1.Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies)
*Ryohei Yamaguchi1, Keith Rodgers1,2, Karl J Stein1,2, Axel Timmermann1,2, John P Dunne3, Richard D Slater4, Sarah Schlunegger4 (1.IBS Center for Climate Physics, 2.Pusan National University, 3.NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, 4.Princeton University)
*Keith Bradley Rodgers1,2, Sarah Schlunegger3, Richard Slater3, Burke Hales4 (1.IBS Center for Climate Physics, 2.Pusan National University, 3.AOS Program, Princeton University, 4.Oregon State University)