[AOS17-01] The Role of AMOC in Atlantic Decadal Predictability
★Invited Papers
*Rong Zhang1 (1.NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
[E] Oral
A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-OS Ocean Sciences & Ocean Environment
convener:Takashi Mochizuki(Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Kyushu University), V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL), Yushi Morioka(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)
Many efforts have been made to understand and predict climate on subseasonal to decadal timescales (e.g. MJO, IOD, ENSO, PDV, AMV), while our knowledge still remains at an insufficient level to fully resolve socioeconomic challenges arising from climate variations and change. Model simulations and predictions usually present large uncertainties, particularly due to lack of understanding of weather and climate interactions across different spatial and temporal timescales (e.g. tropical cyclones and ENSO), as well as due to multiple physical processes underlying climate variations (e.g. troposphere-stratosphere coupling, air-sea-ice interactions; atmosphere-ocean-land interactions). Recently, datasets from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) have been opened to the public, and understanding and predicting the changing climate together with its impacts on frequency and intensity of abnormal weather (e.g. cold/heat waves, tropical storms, and floods/droughts) should also be a timely topic in the areas of earth science and socioeconomics. This session aims to share current knowledge of subseasonal to decadal climate variability and predictability in order to identify the unresolved issues and aim at a better understanding and accurate prediction. This session invites all abstracts related to the observational, theoretical, process-level and modelling research on subseasonal to decadal variability and predictability of climate.
*Rong Zhang1 (1.NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
*Wei Zhang1, Ben Kirtman1 (1.University of Miami)
*Takahito Kataoka1, Hiroaki Tatebe1, Hiroshi Koyama1, Takashi Mochizuki1,2, Koji Ogochi1, Hiroaki Naoe3, Yukiko Imada3, Hideo Shiogama4,5, Masahide Kimoto5, Masahiro Watanabe5 (1.JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 2.Kyusyu University, 3.Meteorological Research Institute, 4.National Institute for Environmental Studies, 5.The University of Tokyo)
*Hiroyuki Murakami1 (1.Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research)
*Faming Wang1 (1.Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Oceanology)
*Tsubasa Kohyama1, Yoko Yamagami2, Hiroaki Miura3, Shoichiro Kido3, Hiroaki Tatebe4, Masahiro Watanabe2 (1.Department of Information Sciences, Ochanomizu University, 2.Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 3.Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo, 4.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)