[S-SS07] Earthquake prediction and forecast+pre-earthquake geoscientific changes(TBD)

convener:Masayuki Obayashi(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Toshitaka Baba(Graduate School of Science and Technology, Tokushima University), Chi-Yu King(Retired)

This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches. (TBD)

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[SSS07-01] Hydrological earthquake precursors caused by slow-slip events

★Invited Papers

*Chi-Yu King¹, Chi-Yu King¹ (1.Retired)

[SSS07-02] Crustal deformations precursory to the Tohoku M9 earthquake and tsunami

*Fumihide Takeda^1,2 (1.Takeda Eng Consultant Co., 2.Earthquake Prediction Inst.)

[SSS07-03] Nowcasting Earthquakes in Sulawesi Island, Indonesia

*Sumanta Pasari¹, Andrean VH Simanjuntak² (1.Birla Institute of Technology and Science Pilani, 2.Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics )

[SSS07-04] Dilation of a sheared granular model experiment of earthquake to serve as a possible precursor

*Victor Simon Levy dit Vehel¹, Florine Dubourg, Loic Vanel¹, Knut Jørgen Måløy², Osvanny Ramos¹ (1.Institut Lumiere Matiere Lyon 1, 2.University of Oslo)

[SSS07-05] A Mechanochemical Model of Stress-induced Charges for Generating the Electromagnetic Precursors of Earthquakes

*Jeen-Hwa Wang¹ (1.Academia Sinica)

[SSS07-06] Likelihood model of crustal earthquakes in southwest Japan using GNSS strain rate data

*Takuya NISHIMURA¹ (1.Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)