[AAS02-P01] Drawing Storylines of Extraordinary Weather Phenomena around Japan in Changing Climate
Keywords:storyline, climate change, extraordinary weather, CMIP6
In this talk, we will introduce our project supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (2-1904). In this research, we employ the Storyline method, which is introduced to make physical explanations why and how extraordinary weather phenomena are affected by the global climate change. We especially focus on local phenomena around Japan, such as extreme rainfall, extreme droughts, heat waves, etc.
In our project, we study how extraordinary weather phenomena are linked to large-scale dynamics. We also discuss how to choose climate models from the CMIP5 and CMIP6 model ensembles, in order to represent a wide range of uncertainty in future change. Finally, we aim to extract small numbers of climate storylines which represent the possible range in future changes of extreme weather phenomena around Japan and their connections to changes in large-scale atmospheric condition.