JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020

講演情報

[E] 口頭発表

セッション記号 A (大気水圏科学) » A-CG 大気海洋・環境科学複合領域・一般

[A-CG48] 地球規模環境変化の予測と検出

コンビーナ:河宮 未知生(海洋研究開発機構)、立入 郁(海洋研究開発機構)、建部 洋晶(海洋研究開発機構)、V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL)

[ACG48-09] Overview of the processes interacting between Earth and socio-economic systems

*立入 郁1松本 健一2蘇 宣銘1 (1.海洋研究開発機構、2.長崎大学)

キーワード:地球システム、社会経済システム、相互作用

Some existing studies indicate that economic carbon cycle feedbacks may be of comparable magnitude to natural climate-carbon cycle feedback. For considering the significance of the interaction between Earth and socio-economic systems, we report the result of our literature survey on the processes interacting between Earth and socio-economic systems. Existing literature indicates that agriculture/pastoralism, disease, energy (both of generation and demand), heat stress (including labor productivity), tourism have processes influenced by climate change, and as a whole there could be a significant impact by climate change on gross domestic product (GDP). However, our evaluation using a loosely coupled earth system of intermediate complexity and computable general equilibrium models indicates that the feedback to atmospheric CO2 concentration and global mean surface air temperature is small.