[PEM17-P02] Value of forecast: forecast verification in user's perspective
Keywords:Forecast verification, User's perspective, Deterministic forecast, Probabilistic forecast
In this study, we perform forecast verification in user's perspective. The decision-theoretic approach is employed to evaluate value of forecast. This method is not new, and already well-known in terrestrial weather forecasting community. However, it is not widely used in space weather forecasting community. We show some examples of value of forecast for a deterministic and probabilistic forecast. We will discuss the strength point of probabilistic forecast.