Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022

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[E] Oral

A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-CG Complex & General

[A-CG34] Climate Variability and Predictability on Subseasonal to Multidecadal Timescales

Wed. May 25, 2022 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM 201A (International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe)

convener:Yushi Morioka(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), convener:Hiroyuki Murakami(Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research), Tomoe Nasuno(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), convener:Liping Zhang(NOAA GFDL Princeton), Chairperson:Hiroyuki Murakami(Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research), Tomoe Nasuno(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)


9:15 AM - 9:30 AM

[ACG34-02] ENSO, Tropical Cyclone, and Climate Change

*I-I Lin1, Suzana Camargo2, Christina Patricola3, Julien Boucharel4, Savin Chand5, Phil Klotzbach6, Johnny Chan7, Bin Wang4, Ping Chang9, Tim Li8, FeiFei Jin4 (1.National Taiwan University, 2.Columbia University, 3.Lawrence Berkeley Lab, 4.University of Hawaii, 5.Federation University, 6.Colorado State University, 7.City University of Hong Kong, 8. University of Hawaii, 9.Texas A and M University)

Keywords:ENSO, Tropical Cyclone, Climate Change

One of ENSO’s most important influences is its worldwide modulation of tropical cyclone (TC) activity. TC is one of the most severe natural disasters to humankind. Because TC attributes (e.g., track, intensity, rainfall, genesis, landfall locations, size, translation speed, rapid intensification, total storm days, and accumulated cyclone energy) can be much controlled by large-scale oceanic and atmospheric conditions, TCs can be substantially altered by ENSO. ENSO can modify TC characteristics via both atmospheric and oceanic pathways. This talk focuses on the ocean aspect. The possible compounded influence from ENSO and global warming to TCs in the western North Pacific (i.e. typhoons) and consequential impact implications will also be discussed.

References:
Lin, I-I, Suzana J. Camargo, Christina M. Patricola, Julien Boucharel, Savin Chand, Phil Klotzbach, Johnny C. L. Chan, Bin Wang, Ping Chang, Tim Li, and Fei-Fei Jin, ENSO and Tropical Cyclones. In El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (eds M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso, W. Cai). American Geophysical Union., Chap. 17, pp. 377-408, doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch17, Oct. 2020.

Lin, I-I, Robert F. Rogers, Hsiao-Ching Huang, Yi-Chun Liao, Derrick Herndon, Jin-Yi Yu, Ya-Ting Chang, Jun A. Zhang, Christina M. Patricola, Iam-Fei Pun, Chun-Chi Lien, A Tale of Two Rapidly-Intensifying Supertyphoons: Hagibis (2019) and Haiyan (2013), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0223.1, Apr. 2021.