11:45 AM - 12:00 PM
[SGD01-05] A study of crustal property changes after the northern Osaka earthquake by evaluating the correlation between surface displacements and groundwater level changes
Keywords:the 2018 northern Osaka earthquake, groundwater level displacements, PSInSAR analysis
In this study, we examine the correlation between surface displacements and groundwater level changes, and evaluate the changes in correlation before and after an earthquake in the Keihan area, which is the area affected by the Mj 6.1 northern Osaka earthquake on June 18, 2018. The surface displacement data was estimated by PSInSAR analysis using Sentinel-1 data of the European Space Agency. Groundwater level observation data from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2020 at a total of 21 groundwater level monitoring stations published by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism's Water Quality Database were used. Cross-correlation coefficients were calculated to quantitatively evaluate the correlation.
As a result of PSInSAR analysis, seasonal surface displacement was estimated and high seasonal correlation with groundwater level change was found at many groundwater level stations. The seasonal correlation patterns can be divided into (i) positive correlation, (ii) negative correlation, and (iii) non-correlation, with two groundwater level stations showing positive correlation and 16 groundwater level stations showing negative correlation. The peaks of the correlations, including both positive and negative correlations, appeared approximately every 365 days, and the seasonality of the correlations could be evaluated correctly. No relationship was found between the confined or unconfined aquifer and the seasonal correlation. The positive correlation was observed in the area where groundwater extraction was conducted, suggesting that the connectivity of each aquifer in the ground is related to the positive and negative correlation.
Next, we recalculated the correlations at the groundwater level observation locations before and after the earthquake, and found that the negative correlations increased widely after the earthquake. This may be due to the increase in groundwater volume caused by the increase in permeability and porosity of the ground. In order to test the hypothesis of crustal property change caused by the earthquake, we compared the measured data with the groundwater level model according to the time series of precipitation, and compared the pseudoelastic constants before and after the earthquake using the data of surface displacement and groundwater level change. The results of our study indicate that the northern Osaka earthquake increased the sensitivity to the water mass loading in a wide area due to an increase in the permeability and porosity, which could suggest the mechanism for increasing the negative correlation. As earthquakes in the Mw6.0 class occur frequently worldwide, similar phenomena may have occurred in areas with abundant groundwater resources.