日本地球惑星科学連合2023年大会

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[E] オンラインポスター発表

セッション記号 A (大気水圏科学) » A-AS 大気科学・気象学・大気環境

[A-AS02] 気象の予測可能性から制御可能性へ

2023年5月23日(火) 10:45 〜 12:15 オンラインポスターZoom会場 (4) (オンラインポスター)

コンビーナ:三好 建正(理化学研究所)、中澤 哲夫(東京大学大気海洋研究所)、Shu-Chih Yang(National Central University)、高玉 孝平(科学技術振興機構)

現地ポスター発表開催日時 (2023/5/22 17:15-18:45)

Weather is chaotic, with strong sensitivity to initial conditions tied to the intrinsic limit to predictability. The strong sensitivity also suggests effective control in which small modifications to the atmospheric conditions grow rapidly and result in big changes. Weather predictability has been studied extensively in the past decades, and the weather prediction skills have been improving consistently. Now with the accurate weather prediction, we are ready to study weather controllability, the other side of a coin. Control is achieved by effective accumulation and combination of modifications or interventions like an orbit control of spacecraft. This session welcomes presentations about understanding of weather sensitivity, theoretical developments of controllability beyond predictability, weather modification techniques, and other related topics toward weather controllability.

10:45 〜 12:15

[AAS02-P03] Improved MJO prediction using a multi-member subseasonal to seasonal forecast system of NUIST (NUIST CFS 1.1)

*Jiye Wu1,2、Yue Li2、Jing-Jia Luo2、Xianan Jiang3、Takeshi Doi1、Toshio Yamagata1,2、Yi Zhang2 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology、2.Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology、3.Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science & Engineering, University of California)

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