日本地球惑星科学連合2023年大会

講演情報

[J] オンラインポスター発表

セッション記号 H (地球人間圏科学) » H-CG 地球人間圏科学複合領域・一般

[H-CG23] 気候変動への適応とその社会実装

2023年5月23日(火) 10:45 〜 12:15 オンラインポスターZoom会場 (10) (オンラインポスター)

コンビーナ:山野 博哉(国立環境研究所)、石川 洋一(海洋研究開発機構)、大楽 浩司(筑波大学)、田村 誠(茨城大学地球・地域環境共創機構)


現地ポスター発表開催日時 (2023/5/22 17:15-18:45)

10:45 〜 12:15

[HCG23-P03] Observational Evidence of anomalous heat extremes over Africa: Need for Statistical downscaling for Urban climate adaptation

*Precious Eromosele Ebiendele1Koji Dairaku1Paul Ayodele Adigun1 (1.University of Tsukuba)


キーワード:Heat Extremes, Climate adaptation, Statistical downscaling

Our research provides observational evidence of rising anomalous heat extremes over African subregions. These potentially deadly heat extremes interacting with urban population expansion could drastically increase in future climates. It is critical to examine the potential biases of statistically downscaled climate information to understand and quantify the hazards that a changing environment poses to a growing population. As a first step, our research establishes a preliminary baseline for further investigation into the potential benefits of statistical downscaling and the provision of decision-relevant metrics for stakeholders facing modeling choices that necessitate negotiating trade-offs in projection confidence and risk assessment.