日本地球惑星科学連合2023年大会

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[J] 口頭発表

セッション記号 S (固体地球科学) » S-CG 固体地球科学複合領域・一般

[S-CG53] 地震動・地殻変動・津波データの即時把握・即時解析・即時予測

2023年5月23日(火) 15:30 〜 16:45 202 (幕張メッセ国際会議場)

コンビーナ:小木曽 仁(気象庁気象研究所)、山田 真澄(京都大学防災研究所)、太田 雄策(東北大学大学院理学研究科附属地震・噴火予知研究観測センター)、近貞 直孝(防災科学技術研究所)、座長:小木曽 仁(気象庁気象研究所)、山田 真澄(京都大学防災研究所)

16:15 〜 16:30

[SCG53-04] 2023年トルコ・シリア地震の強震記録への緊急地震速報の手法の適用

*山田 真澄1、Xiao Ying2 (1.京都大学防災研究所、2.中国地震局)

キーワード:緊急地震速報、2023年トルコ・シリア地震

On 6 February 2023 at 01:17(UTC), a large earthquake (Mw 7.8) struck southern and central Turkey, as well as northern and western Syria. A large aftershock, with Mw7.5, followed the mainshock 9 hours later. The strong motions of these earthquakes were recorded by the Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) in Turkey. We obtained the strong motion waveforms from the website of the Turkish Earthquake Data Center System and applied the earthquake early warning method to locate the hypocenter and estimate the rupture dimension.
We applied the Extended IPF (IPFx) method to locate the hypocentre and estimate the magnitude. The IPFx method was designed to locate earthquakes automatically under active seismicity (Yamada et al., 2021). The first estimate for the Mw7.8 quake was provided 5 seconds after the origin time, and 1 second after the first P-wave detection. The location error against the catalog location was less than 5 km. The detection was properly performed if the data was transmitted in real-time. The Mw7.5 quake was detected 11 seconds after the origin time, and 5 seconds after the first P-wave detection. The location error was about 10 km. The IPFx method can detect these earthquakes properly without changing any detection parameters.
We also applied a method to detect fault rupture extent as the rupture propagates (XYtracker, Xiao and Yamada, 2022). The method uses the high-frequency component to estimate the source parameters (such as width, length, and strike of the fault). We estimate the intensity magnitude from the stations near the epicenter, and then estimate fault distance from near-source stations. Our results show a good estimate for the strike (N45E), but the seismic intensities estimated from the ground motion prediction equation show a large error compared to the observed intensity.