日本地球惑星科学連合2023年大会

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[J] オンラインポスター発表

セッション記号 S (固体地球科学) » S-TT 計測技術・研究手法

[S-TT44] 最先端ベイズ統計学が拓く地震ビッグデータ解析

2023年5月22日(月) 10:45 〜 12:15 オンラインポスターZoom会場 (6) (オンラインポスター)

コンビーナ:長尾 大道(東京大学地震研究所)、加藤 愛太郎(東京大学地震研究所)、矢野 恵佑(統計数理研究所)、椎名 高裕(産業技術総合研究所)

現地ポスター発表開催日時 (2023/5/21 17:15-18:45)

10:45 〜 12:15

[STT44-P05] Detection of Deep Low-Frequency Tremors from Continuous Paper Records at a Station in Southwest Japan About 50 Years Ago Based on Convolutional Neural Network

金子 亮介1,2、*長尾 大道2,1伊藤 伸一2,1鶴岡 弘2,1小原 一成2,1 (1.東京大学大学院情報理工学系研究科、2.東京大学地震研究所)

キーワード:残差学習、低周波微動、地震計古記録、画像認識

Since deep low-frequency tremors are considered to be associated with large earthquakes that occur adjacently on the same subducting plate interface, it is important to investigate tremors that occurred before the establishment of modern seismograph networks such as the High Sensitivity Seismograph Network (Hi-net). We propose a deep-learning solution to detect evidence of tremors in the scanned images of paper seismogram records from over 50 years ago. In this study, we fine-tuned a convolutional neural network (CNN) based on the Residual Network (ResNet), pre-trained based on images of synthetic waveforms in our previous study, using a dataset comprised of images generated from real seismic data recorded digitally by Hi-net to facilitate a supervised analysis. The fine-tuned CNN was able to predict the presence or absence of tremors in the Hi-net images with an accuracy of 98.64%. Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) heatmaps created to visualize model predictions indicated that the CNN’s ability to detect tremors is not degraded by the presence of teleseisms. Once validated using the training images, the CNN was applied to paper seismograms recorded from 1966 to 1977 at the Kumano observatory in southwest Japan, operated by Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo. The CNN showed potential for detecting tremors in scanned images of paper seismogram records from the past, facilitating downstream tasks such as the creation of new tremor catalogs. However, further training using an augmented dataset to control for variables such as inconsistent plotting pen thickness is required to develop a universally applicable model.