Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024

Session information

[E] Oral

A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-CG Complex & General

[A-CG34] Projection and detection of global environmental change

Thu. May 30, 2024 9:00 AM - 10:15 AM 103 (International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe)

convener:Michio Kawamiya(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Kaoru Tachiiri(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Hiroaki Tatebe(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL), Chairperson:Hiroaki Tatebe(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Michio Kawamiya(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

Anthropogenic forcings on the global environment are expected to cause intensification of extreme events, such as sea-level rise, hurricanes and typhoons, ocean acidification, and deoxygenation, as well as regional-scale ecosystem changes. Under the international project CMIP6, Earth System modeling groups across the world performed simulations and published projection data, which made invaluable contributions to the 6th IPCC assessment report (AR6) published in August 2021, which attracted much attention from the general public and policymakers. Other than CMIP6, new types of studies, such as event attribution, coupling of socio-economic processes and Earth system dynamics, and realistic high resolution modeling advocating "Digital Twin Earth" are emerging in the field of global change predictions and projections. In addition, analysis of observational data is becoming increasingly important for assessing the credibility of model projections of the global environment. Interactions and collaborations beyond the boundaries of conventional scientific disciplines are desired for dealing with the issue of global changes and their societal impacts. This session hosts the latest research findings with a view to modeling global-to-regional projections and interdisciplinary collaborations including those with social sciences. Presentations on the direction of model development for the upcoming CMIP7, and ultra-high-resolution modeling that extends the frontiers further, are also welcome.

9:00 AM - 9:20 AM

*Nagio Hirota1, Takuro Michibata2, Yoko Yamagami3, Hiroaki Tatebe3, Kentaroh Suzuki4, Masahiro Watanabe4, Takao Kawasaki4, Tomoko Nitta5, Fuyuki SAITO3, Koji Ogochi3, Miho Sekiguchi6, Shingo Watanabe3, Hideo Shiogama1, Tomoo Ogura1, Toshihiko Takemura7, Tomoki Ohno4, Manabu Abe3, Kei Yoshimura5, Hideaki Kawai8, Minoru Chikira1, Hisashi Yashiro1, Daisuke Goto1 (1.National Institute for Environmental Studies, 2.Okayama University, 3.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 4.Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, 5.Institute of Industrial Science, the University of Tokyo, 6.Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology, 7.Research Institute for Applied Mechanics, Kyushu University, 8.Meteorological Research Institute)

9:40 AM - 9:55 AM

*Keith Bradley Rodgers1, Olivier Aumont2, Katsuya Toyama3, Laure Resplandy4, Masao Ishii3, Toshiya Nakano6, Daisuke Sasano5, Daniele Bianchi7, Ryohei Yamaguchi8 (1.IBS Center for Climate Physics, Busan, South Korea, 2.Sorbonne Universités, Paris, France, 3.Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japa, 4.Princeton University Department of Geosciences, Princeton, USA, 5.Atmosphere and Ocean Department, Japan Meterological Agency, Tokyo, Japan, 6.Nagasaki Ocean Academy, Nagasaki, Japan, 7.Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA, 8.Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

9:55 AM - 10:10 AM

*Tokuta Yokohata1, Irina Melnikova1, Michiya Hayashi1, Hideo Shiogama1, Akitomo Yamamoto2, Tatsuo Suzuki2, Kazuya Kusahara2, Youichi Kamae3, Yusuke Satoh4, Tomohiro Hajima2, Michio Kawamiya2, Kazuya Nishina1, Shintaro Takao1, Nagio Hirota1, Masakazu Yoshimori5 (1.National Institute for Environmental Studies, 2.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 3.University of Tsukuba, 4.Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, 5.The University of Tokyo)

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