[A-AS06] 台風研究の新展開～過去・現在・未来

[AAS06-P08] Multi-hazard Meteorological Disaster Risk Index for ‘Paradigm Shift’ for Typhoon Forecast in Korea

*Woo-Sik Jung¹ (1.Department of Atmospheric Environment Information Engineering / Typhoon Ready Center, INJE University, Republic of Korea)

キーワード：Typhoon, Impact-based forecast, Risk index, Vulnerability factor, Paradigm

In many cases, the meteorological forecast and special reports provided by most meteorological forecasting agencies are centered on meteorological phenomenon forecasting, so they do not have much effect on disaster reduction(WMO, 2015). The most important and reliable way to reduce the damage of natural disasters is to identify and prepare for the risk in advance. In particular, typhoons are required to prepare and evaluate in advance as a multi-hazard meteorological disaster rather than an approach to a single meteorological disaster, and the World Meteorological Organization has established guidelines for impact forecasting and recommends typhoon impact forecasting. In this study, in order to introduce the 'Ready' concept of disaster prevention impact forecast for typhoon affected on the Korean Peninsula, a decision-making support Typhoon-Ready System(TRS), which is the basis of the climate crisis era and impact forecast for typhoon affected on the Korean Peninsula, was developed and the results calculated using this were to be introduced. In the TRS of this study, the meteorological risk and scale of strong wind, heavy rain, tsunami, and air pollution, which are multi-hazard meteorological disasters accompanied by typhoons, were defined as disaster factors, regional characteristics were defined as vulnerability factors, and a risk index considering both disaster factors and vulnerability factors was calculated and provided.

This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT) (No. RS-2023-00212688)