16:30 〜 16:45
[AOS14-10] A tale of sea level dynamics in the Arabian Gulf
キーワード:Sea Level, Wind , Cyclicity, Arabian Gulf
The Arabian Gulf's level oscillates up and down on a seasonal scale. Some studies claim that the wind has a limited role, while others indicate that the wind has a strong role and controls the cyclic intra-annual movement of the Arabian Gulf. In this research, I use satellite altimetry data. To ensure stationarity and decompose the time series into seasonal and trend components. I model the trend component using linear regression mode and the cyclic component using first-order Fourier series and the simple sine curve model. I compared the two seasonal models and found that a simple sine curve model also explains well the cyclic rise and fall of the Arabian Gulf. There seems to be a phase shift in the direction of the wind and it correlates with the cyclic rise and fall of the Arabian Gulf.