日本地球惑星科学連合2024年大会

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セッション記号 H (地球人間圏科学) » H-SC 社会地球科学・社会都市システム

[H-SC07] 地球温暖化防⽌と地学(CO2地中貯留・有効利⽤、地球⼯学)

2024年5月28日(火) 13:45 〜 15:00 105 (幕張メッセ国際会議場)

コンビーナ:徂徠 正夫(国立研究開発法人産業技術総合研究所地圏資源環境研究部門)、薛 自求(公益財団法人 地球環境産業技術研究機構)、愛知 正温(東京大学大学院新領域創成科学研究科)、今野 義浩(The University of Tokyo, Japan)、座長:徂徠 正夫(国立研究開発法人産業技術総合研究所地圏資源環境研究部門)


14:15 〜 14:30

[HSC07-14] Planning of conceptual MMV programs for offshore CCS projects

大平 茜1、*仲山 祥太郎1、新居 恭平1、芦田 貴史1、Qiu Kaibin2、Lee Haeseon2、Paxton Andrea2、Campbell Rob2、Galybin Konstantin2、Zhao Geng2、Guo Hongzhi2、Branston Mike2 (1.株式会社INPEX、2.SLB)

キーワード:二酸化炭素地下貯留、モニタリング、二酸化炭素、4D 震探

Measurement Monitoring and Verification (MMV) plays a vital role in ensuring the safety and effectiveness of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects. MMV serves to verify storage integrity, confirming that injected CO2 remains securely contained in the target reservoirs. Additionally, MMV helps comply with regulations and assess project performance. It also prevents or mitigates operational and environmental risks associated with CO2 injection. By providing transparency and accountability, a proper MMV strategy is essential to gain public acceptance and to facilitate stakeholder engagement.
We carried out a conceptual study to derive effective MMV programs for potential CCS projects offshore Japan. First, a risk assessment was conducted to identify and evaluate any potential risks due to CO2 injection, resulting in the identification of major risks. These risks were subsequently ranked based on their severity and likelihood using the Boston square risk matrix. We then conducted a bow-tie analysis that can provide a visual representation of the identified risks, their causes, and mitigating barriers, indicating potential MMV techniques to deal with undesired scenarios. More than thirty MMV techniques were listed through the bow-tie analysis, and then they were evaluated based on the effectiveness and costs.
As surface and borehole seismic surveys have a certain cost impact, proper understanding of their feasibilities is helpful in optimizing MMV programs in both technical and economical perspectives. Therefore, we conducted modeling studies based on rock physics analysis and ray tracing. The use of a rock physics model allows changes in subsurface properties, such as an acoustic impedance, due to CO2 injection to be related to time-lapse seismic responses. Furthermore, ray tracing ensures optimum surface and borehole seismic survey geometries to sufficiently cover an area of review, i.e., a project area under the influence of CCS activities.
Along with outcomes form other subsurface studies and injection scenarios including well planning as well as adherence of various CCS guidelines, we designed conceptual MMV programs tailored for CCS projects offshore Japan. These comprehensive MMV plans comprise of various monitoring techniques covering marine environment, geosphere and storage complex, wells including injectors, observers, and any existing wells. While MMV programs need to be optimized throughout the CCS projects, the insights obtained from this conceptual study provided valuable information to sufficiently pursue CCS projects further. The applied study workflow can be utilized and implemented in diverse CCS projects, particularly for those in their early planning phases.