9:15 AM - 9:30 AM
[O04-02] Allure of ocean weather forecasts
Keywords:ocean prediction, ocean modelling, operational oceanography, Japan Coastal Ocean Predictability Experiment (JCOPE)
The Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) has been consistently providing ocean weather forecasts based on predictions of conditions in the sea, such as water temperature and currents in the waters near Japan, for the next two months since 2001. Various initiatives are currently underway worldwide to achieve the United Nations' Ocean Decade (2021-2030)." In comparison to meteorological forecasts, ocean weather forecasts, which are still relatively unfamiliar, are the focus of our efforts to increase awareness among younger generations and encourage their utilization in research. With the intention of reaching students aspiring to study oceanography as the primary audience, we have authored an explanatory paper on ocean weather forecasts.
In this presentation, we aim to introduce the allure of ocean weather forecasts while also sharing the background, innovations, and challenges faced during the writing process. As part of the contribution to the goal of an "accessible ocean" advocated by the United Nations’ Ocean Decade, we hope to engage in information sharing and exchange of opinions with everyone. For reference, the following paragraph outlines the summary of this explanatory paper.
Since 2001, JAMSTEC has consistently provided ocean weather forecasts, predicting conditions in the sea, such as water temperature and currents, for the next two months in the waters near Japan. This paper has been prepared with the assumption that readers include students aspiring to study oceanography and professionals from diverse fields. We aimed to provide a simple explanation of ocean weather forecasts, their utilization in research and outreach, and future prospects. Specifically, the paper is divided into introductory, applied, and prospective sections. The introductory section introduces the formulas underlying predictions, observational data for improving prediction accuracy, and diverse forecast specifications based on objectives. In the applied section, we discuss the dissemination of forecasts through blogs and social media, their application in meteorological forecasts, and the expansion of predictions globally for 1 to 2 years ahead. The prospective section emphasizes efforts in technological development to maximize the use of forecasts and initiatives for the creation of new predictive information. Through continued provision of daily forecast information and technological development, ocean weather forecasts will contribute to the goal of a "predictable ocean" set by the United Nations' Ocean Decade.
In this presentation, we aim to introduce the allure of ocean weather forecasts while also sharing the background, innovations, and challenges faced during the writing process. As part of the contribution to the goal of an "accessible ocean" advocated by the United Nations’ Ocean Decade, we hope to engage in information sharing and exchange of opinions with everyone. For reference, the following paragraph outlines the summary of this explanatory paper.
Since 2001, JAMSTEC has consistently provided ocean weather forecasts, predicting conditions in the sea, such as water temperature and currents, for the next two months in the waters near Japan. This paper has been prepared with the assumption that readers include students aspiring to study oceanography and professionals from diverse fields. We aimed to provide a simple explanation of ocean weather forecasts, their utilization in research and outreach, and future prospects. Specifically, the paper is divided into introductory, applied, and prospective sections. The introductory section introduces the formulas underlying predictions, observational data for improving prediction accuracy, and diverse forecast specifications based on objectives. In the applied section, we discuss the dissemination of forecasts through blogs and social media, their application in meteorological forecasts, and the expansion of predictions globally for 1 to 2 years ahead. The prospective section emphasizes efforts in technological development to maximize the use of forecasts and initiatives for the creation of new predictive information. Through continued provision of daily forecast information and technological development, ocean weather forecasts will contribute to the goal of a "predictable ocean" set by the United Nations' Ocean Decade.