5:15 PM - 6:45 PM
[PEM14-P02] Data smoothing using neural networks for symbolic regression in sunspot decay
Keywords:symbolic regression, sunspot decay, neural network, data smoothing
To this end, we aim at symbolic regression using AI-Feynman from actual observation data containing measurement noise and, as a first step, investigate how to deal with measurement noise by smoothing the data using a neural network. The target is the decaying process of sunspots. Sunspot decay is a relatively mild phenomenon and time series data can be expected to be obtained at sufficient time intervals, so sunspot decay is a reasonable setting for this research topic.
We selected 20 circular-symmetric decaying sunspots from the Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARPs) observed by the solar observing satellite. We made the one-dimensional data reduce the observational noise and simplify learning by azimuthally averaging at the center of the sunspots. Next, to smooth the data, we constructed a neural network that takes the magnetic fields, Bz(r,t) and Bt(r,t), at each time point as input and predicts the change of the magnetic fields, ΔBz(r,t+Δt) and ΔBt(r,t+Δt), over two hours. We then used the output of a neural network that learned the average temporal evolution of the sunspot magnetic field to produce smoothed one-dimensional sunspot decay data from initial conditions to sunspot extinction.
To assess the validity of the smoothing method, we compared the time from the initial state to the extinction of actual and smoothed sunspot decay for a total of 20 sunspots. The results showed that the RMSE was 35.6 hours, which is smaller than the sunspot decay time and confirms that the sunspot decay data smoothed by the neural network can capture the approximate time evolution of sunspot decay.
The results of this study provide the effectiveness of the smoothing process using neural networks which will be helpful for symbolic regression methods in finding the new physical law or governing equation from the observational data.
