[U-02] Remote Sensing Role in Sustainable Development

[U02-02] Spatiotemporal Variations of Surface Deformation, Shallow Creep Rate, and Slip Partitioning on the East Anatolian Fault

*Bingquan Han^1,2, Yosuke Aoki², Chen Yu¹, Zhenhong Li¹, Song Chuang¹ (1.School of Geological Engineering and Geomatics, Changan University, 2.Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo)

Keywords:The East Anatolian Fault, Sentinel-1, Earthquake cycle, Afterslip

The East Anatolian Fault (EAF) is a significant sinistral strike-slip fault, connecting with the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) to the north and the Dead Sea Fault (DSF) to the south. Located in southeastern Turkey, it plays a crucial role in accommodating the relative motion between the northward-moving Arabian Plate and the westward-moving Anatolian Block. Despite the relative quietude of the EAF since the beginning of the 20th century, historical seismic activity indicates its potential to generate devastating earthquakes, as evidenced by a series of relatively large earthquakes occurring between 1822 and 1905. On January 24, 2020, the Puturge segment at the northeastern end of the EAF experienced the Mw6.8 Elazig earthquake (2020 event). Subsequently, on February 6, 2023, the southwestern segment of the EAF witnessed the Turkey–Syria Earthquake Sequence (2023 event). The consecutive occurrence of these two seismic events has provided an opportunity to investigate the tectonic activity characteristics and seismic triggering relationships of the EAF. In this study, we take the two events that occurred on the EAF in 2020 and 2023 as the time nodes and take the EAF as the research object. Utilizing InSAR technology, the research investigated the deformation during seismic cycles (interseismic, coseismic, and postseismic) based on Sentinel-1 radar data. We computed interseismic deformation velocities from 2015 to 2020 and displacement time series from February 2020 to February 2023, as well as from February 2023 to September 2023. Subsequently, this study extensively considered the geometric complexity of faults and established an elastic triangular dislocation model. Based on this model, we derived the interseismic fault slip distribution for the EAF from 2015 to 2020, as well as coseismic and postseismic fault slip distributions for the 2020 and 2023 events. The results indicate that: 1) The slip rate along the EAF exhibits a decreasing trend from the northeastern end (5 mm/yr) to the southwestern end (2 mm/yr); 2) The interseismic slip deficits of the EAF correlate well with the coseismic fault slip distribution of the 2020 and 2023 events; 3) The postseismic fault slip following the 2020 and 2023 events primarily occurs at coseismic slip deficit areas.