Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025

Session information

[E] Oral

A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-AS Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment

[A-AS01] From Weather Predictability to Controllability

Fri. May 30, 2025 1:45 PM - 3:15 PM Exhibition Hall Special Setting (4) (Exhibition Hall 7&8, Makuhari Messe)

convener:Takemasa Miyoshi(RIKEN), Tetsuo Nakazawa(AORI, The University of Tokyo), Kohei Takatama(Japan Science and Technology Agency), Chairperson:Takemasa Miyoshi(RIKEN), Tetsuo Nakazawa(AORI, The University of Tokyo)

Weather is chaotic, with strong sensitivity to initial conditions tied to the intrinsic limit to predictability. The strong sensitivity also suggests effective control in which small modifications to the atmospheric conditions grow rapidly and result in big changes. Weather predictability has been studied extensively in the past decades, and the weather prediction skills have been improving consistently. Now with the accurate weather prediction, we are ready to study weather controllability, the other side of a coin. Control is achieved by effective accumulation and combination of modifications or interventions like an orbit control of spacecraft. This session welcomes presentations about understanding of weather sensitivity and predictability, theoretical developments of controllability beyond predictability, weather modification techniques, and other related topics toward weather controllability.

2:15 PM - 2:30 PM

*Pascal Oettli1, Keita Tokuda2, Yusuke Imoto3, Shunji Kotsuki4,1,5 (1.Center for Environmental Remote Sensing, Chiba University, 2.Faculty of Health Data science, Juntendo University, 3.Institute for the Advanced Study of Human Biology, Kyoto University, 4.Institute for Advanced Academic Research, Chiba University, 5.Research Institute of Disaster Medicine, Chiba University)

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