[E] ポスター発表

セッション記号 A (大気水圏科学) » A-AS 大気科学・気象学・大気環境

[A-AS03] Extreme Events and Mesoscale Weather: Observations and Modeling

2025年5月27日(火) 17:15 〜 19:15 ポスター会場 (幕張メッセ国際展示場 7・8ホール)

コンビーナ:竹見哲也(京都大学防災研究所)、Nayak Sridhara(Japan Meteorological Corporation)、下瀬健一(国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所)、本田匠(東京大学情報基盤センター)

The frequencies and intensities of extreme events such as heavy rainfall, flash floods, droughts, heat waves, tropical cyclones etc. have increased in many regions across the globe and are of serious concern due to their socio-economic and climate change connections. Thus, understanding of the patterns of such events and particularly their characteristics have been the focus of many recent studies. This session invites presentations on observational and numerical modeling studies to enhance the understanding of the spatial and temporal characteristics and predictability of the extreme events. In particular, we encourage regional-scale/mesoscale analysis of extreme events in the past as well as their future projections, which would assist the policy makers to build potentially more resilient societies to face the extreme event related disasters. This session also welcomes the submissions on numerical modeling/simulations and model evaluations to advance the understanding of the physics and dynamics associated with the extreme events.

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17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P01] Predictability of a line-shaped heavy precipitation event in early July 2023 revealed by an ensemble forecast

*本田匠¹、岡本幸三²、栃本英伍² (1.東京大学情報基盤センター、2.気象研究所)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P02] 日本の北部と南部で発生する集中豪雨時の湿潤不安定性：2023年7月の事例解析

*竹見哲也¹、中七海¹ (1.京都大学防災研究所)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P03] Estimation of the Probable Maximum Precipitation for Mesoscale Convective Systems Using a Numerical Weather Model

*田原亮太郎¹、平賀優介¹ (1.国立大学法人東北大学)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P04] High-Resolution UV Absorption Cross-Sections for Isotopic Studies: A New Spectroscopic Measurement Approach

*Yuanzhe Li¹、Seba Fuyutsuki²、Shinkoh Nanbu²、Yuichiro Ueno^3,4,5 (1.Green Science And Engineering Division, Graduate School Of Science And Technology, Sophia University、2.Department of Material and Life Science, Faculty of Science and Technology, Sophia University, Japan、3.Earth-life Science Institute, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan、4.Japan Agency fo Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Japan、5.Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P05] Extreme Precipitation Estimation Using Stochastic Storm Transposition with Large Ensemble: A Case Study in Japan.

*Wasitha Randeepa Ranga Munipurage¹、Yusuke Hiraga¹、Jose Angelo Hokson¹ (1.Tohoku University, Japan)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P06] Effects of wildfire burned scars on downstream peak discharge scenarios in the California watersheds.

*Wasitha Randeepa Ranga Munipurage¹、Yusuke Hiraga¹ (1.Tohoku University, Japan)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P07] Multiscale Influences on Persistent Extreme Precipitation Events in North China

*Xiaojun Guan¹、Jianyun Gao¹、Tim Li²、Lan Wang¹、Xiaoxiao Chen³ (1.Fujian Institute of Meteorological Sciences、2.Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii at Manoa、3.Pingtan Meteorological Bureau)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P08] Frequency variation of winter low-temperature events in Guangxi, China and its response to Atlantic sea surface temperature from 1951 to 2020

*Xiuhua ZHOU¹、Yi TANG²、Hong LU¹ (1.Guangxi Meteorological Bureau, China、2.Guilin Meteorological Bureau, China)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P09] Definition of a new East Asian subtropical summer monsoon index

*hongming yan¹ (1.Yunnan Meteorological Administration)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P10] Fidelity of the APHRODITE Dataset in Representing Extreme Precipitation over Central Asia

*Sheng Lai¹、Zuowei XIE²、Cholaw BUEH²、Yuanfa GONG³ (1.Guangxi Meteorological Bureau, China、2.Chinese Academy of Sciences, China、3.Chengdu University of Information Technology, China)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P11] The interannual impact of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature on the surface air temperature over southern China in February

*Chengyang Zhang¹、Zhihai Zheng²、Shaobo Qiao³、Sheng Lai¹、Liyang He¹ (1.Guangxi Meteorological Bureau, China、2.National Climate Center, China、3.Sun Yat-sen University)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P12] Intraseasonal Variability of Sea Surface Temperature in the Arabian Sea impacts on the Summer Monsoon Precipitation over the Bay of Bengal

*Jingyuan Xi¹ (1.Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P13] Aerosol impacts on summer precipitation forecast over the North China Plain by using Thompson Aerosol-Aware scheme in WRF

*Chunwei Guo¹、Dan Chen¹、Min Chen¹ (1.Institute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P14] 近畿地方の下層ジェットに起因する極端降水事例に対する初期値・境界値の空間的移動に関する感度実験

*大野哲之¹、山口弘誠¹ (1.京都大学防災研究所)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P15] Assessing climate extremes indices over global drylands under real-world warming beyond 1.5 ℃: Spatial distribution and temporal trends

*Xinyu Ma^1,2、Hua Zhang^1,2、Shuyun Zhao¹ (1.China University of Geosciences、2.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P16] High Resolution Numerical Simulation of Tornado Outbreak associated with Typhoon ShanShan 2024 using Supercomputer Fugaku

*塚越栞奈^1,2、真島祐介³、本田巧³、湯上伸弘^3,2、吉田龍二²、佐藤正樹²、筆保弘徳²、坪木和久^1,2 (1.名古屋大学宇宙地球環境研究所、2.横浜国立大学台風科学技術研究センター、3.富士通株式会社)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P17] Hectometer-scale forecast of a severe thunderstorm event over Beijing using RMAPS-ST model

*Qianqian Huang¹、Hongjun Liu¹、Yizhou Zhang¹、Xiangyu Huang¹、Xiujuan Zhao¹ (1.Institute of Urban Meteorology, CMA)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P18] 降水システムの変化に対する湿潤絶対不安定層（MAUL）領域の寄与

*篠田太郎¹、大坂龍生¹、清水慎吾²、加藤雅也¹、坪木和久¹ (1.名古屋大学宇宙地球環境研究所、2.防災科学技術研究所)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P19] Simulation and Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Events in the North-West Himalayas

*Saurabh Singh¹、PIYUSH SRIVASTAVA¹、Amit Dhiman¹ (1.Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

17:15 〜 19:15

[AAS03-P20] 様々な鉛直シア条件下で形成されるバックビルディング型線状降水帯の数値実験

*佐藤未笛¹、若月泰孝¹ (1.茨城大学)

セッション情報

[A-AS03] Extreme Events and Mesoscale Weather: Observations and Modeling

[AAS03-P01] Predictability of a line-shaped heavy precipitation event in early July 2023 revealed by an ensemble forecast

[AAS03-P02] 日本の北部と南部で発生する集中豪雨時の湿潤不安定性：2023年7月の事例解析

[AAS03-P03] Estimation of the Probable Maximum Precipitation for Mesoscale Convective Systems Using a Numerical Weather Model

[AAS03-P04] High-Resolution UV Absorption Cross-Sections for Isotopic Studies: A New Spectroscopic Measurement Approach

[AAS03-P05] Extreme Precipitation Estimation Using Stochastic Storm Transposition with Large Ensemble: A Case Study in Japan.

[AAS03-P06] Effects of wildfire burned scars on downstream peak discharge scenarios in the California watersheds.

[AAS03-P07] Multiscale Influences on Persistent Extreme Precipitation Events in North China

[AAS03-P08] Frequency variation of winter low-temperature events in Guangxi, China and its response to Atlantic sea surface temperature from 1951 to 2020

[AAS03-P09] Definition of a new East Asian subtropical summer monsoon index

[AAS03-P10] Fidelity of the APHRODITE Dataset in Representing Extreme Precipitation over Central Asia

[AAS03-P11] The interannual impact of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature on the surface air temperature over southern China in February

[AAS03-P12] Intraseasonal Variability of Sea Surface Temperature in the Arabian Sea impacts on the Summer Monsoon Precipitation over the Bay of Bengal

[AAS03-P13] Aerosol impacts on summer precipitation forecast over the North China Plain by using Thompson Aerosol-Aware scheme in WRF

[AAS03-P14] 近畿地方の下層ジェットに起因する極端降水事例に対する初期値・境界値の空間的移動に関する感度実験

[AAS03-P15] Assessing climate extremes indices over global drylands under real-world warming beyond 1.5 ℃: Spatial distribution and temporal trends

[AAS03-P16] High Resolution Numerical Simulation of Tornado Outbreak associated with Typhoon ShanShan 2024 using Supercomputer Fugaku

[AAS03-P17] Hectometer-scale forecast of a severe thunderstorm event over Beijing using RMAPS-ST model

[AAS03-P18] 降水システムの変化に対する湿潤絶対不安定層（MAUL）領域の寄与

[AAS03-P19] Simulation and Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Events in the North-West Himalayas

[AAS03-P20] 様々な鉛直シア条件下で形成されるバックビルディング型線状降水帯の数値実験

認証