Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025

Presentation information

[E] Oral

A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-AS Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment

[A-AS02] Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research: Past, Present, and Future

Sun. May 25, 2025 1:45 PM - 3:15 PM 102 (International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe)

convener:Satoki Tsujino(Meteorological Research Institute), Sachie Kanada(Nagoya University), Kosuke Ito(Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University), Yoshiaki Miyamoto(Faculty of Environment and Information Studies, Keio University), Chairperson:Sachie Kanada(Nagoya University)

2:30 PM - 2:45 PM

[AAS02-10] Formation of long-lasting inactive and active multiple tropical cyclone events in the western North Pacific

*Lilan Chen1, Jianyun Gao1, Tim Li2 (1.Fujian Institute of Meteorological Sciences, 2.University of Hawaii at Manoa)

Keywords:Multiple tropical cyclone events, intraseasonal oscillation, PMM-like SST anomaly, Indian Ocean warming

Long-lasting inactive and active multiple tropical cyclone (MTC) events in the western North Pacific (WNP) during July-August 1982-2020 were investigated. It is found that the significant difference between the inactive and active events lies on large-scale circulation conditions and tropical SST anomalies in the Pacific and Indian Ocean. A negative phase of the Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM), an Indian ocean warming and a local suppressed convective phase are associated with the long-lasting inactive MTC events, and vice versa. A further diagnosis of the environmental parameters showed that dynamic parameters such as mid-level vertical motion and the upper-level divergence and thermodynamic parameters such as vertically integrated water vapor content and low-level specific humidity play important roles in regulating the inactive and active MTC events. A separation of interannual and intraseasonal components indicates that the extreme MTC events are influenced by both the timescale motions. While the former is primarily through the SSTA-induced low-level anticyclonic and descent anomalies, the latter is via the fluctuation of the boreal summer atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation.