日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会

講演情報

[E] ポスター発表

セッション記号 H (地球人間圏科学) » H-DS 防災地球科学

[H-DS07] 地すべりおよび関連現象

2025年5月30日(金) 17:15 〜 19:15 ポスター会場 (幕張メッセ国際展示場 7・8ホール)

コンビーナ:王 功輝(京都大学防災研究所)、齋藤 仁(名古屋大学 大学院環境学研究科)、千木良 雅弘(公益財団法人 深田地質研究所)、今泉 文寿(静岡大学農学部)

17:15 〜 19:15

[HDS07-P01] Tracking Landslide Motion: A Kinematic Approach Using Velocity-Acceleration Phase Plane

★Invited Papers

*岡本 隆1、土井 一生2、松浦 純生2、大澤 光3、土佐 信一4、柴崎 達也4 (1.国立研究開発法人森林研究・整備機構森林総合研究所東北支所、2.京都大学防災研究所、3.国立研究開発法人森林研究・整備機構森林総合研究所、4.国土防災技術株式会社)

キーワード:地すべり、加速度、相平面、運動解析

Landslide displacement is a critical factor in establishing early warning systems and evaluating the effectiveness of mitigation measures. Conventionally, landslide activity has been assessed based on time-series displacement data, which provide limited insights into landslide dynamics. This study proposes a kinematic approach to visualize and evaluate landslide movement by analyzing the relationship between velocity and acceleration through a phase plane representation.
Three landslide monitoring sites were analyzed: (A) Shirishizu and (B) Senposhi in Hokkaido Prefecture, and (C) Busuno in Niigata Prefecture. Sites (A) and (B) experienced rapid movements within 24 hours, with high-precision data (+/- 0.1 mm, 5-minute intervals), while site (C) exhibited slow movements over several years with lower data precision (+/- 0.3 mm, daily intervals). Velocity and acceleration were derived from displacement data and plotted in a velocity-acceleration phase plane to track motion trajectories over time.
The results indicate that, for all sites, the trajectories exhibit a clockwise pattern relative to the zero-acceleration axis, reflecting the transition from movement initiation to cessation. In the phase plane, positive acceleration phases signify a state of increasing movement where driving forces exceed resisting forces, indicating high landslide risk independent of velocity. Conversely, negative acceleration phases represent decelerating motion, suggesting a reduced risk. When trajectories remain on the zero-acceleration axis, landslides move at a constant velocity, indicating that the driving and resisting forces are in equilibrium. This equilibrium represents a quasi-steady state.
The quality of observational data significantly influenced the interpretation of the motion characteristics. Higher-precision and short-interval data from sites (A) and (B) provided smooth and clear trajectories, facilitating detailed assessments of landslide motion. In contrast, the lower-precision and long-interval data from site (C) resulted in complex trajectories with abrupt changes, yet offered potential for long-term anomaly detection in landslide risk management.

This work was supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Numbers JP20H01984,JP22H01309,JP23K22580.