日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会

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セッション記号 M (領域外・複数領域) » M-IS ジョイント

[M-IS05] Environmental, Socio-economic, and Climatic Changes in Northern Eurasia

2025年5月25日(日) 10:45 〜 12:15 展示場特設会場 (6) (幕張メッセ国際展示場 7・8ホール)

コンビーナ:Groisman Pavel(NC State University Research Scholar at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina, USA)、Maksyutov Shamil(National Institute for Environmental Studies)、Olchev Alexander(Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia)、Chairperson:Daria Gushchina(Moscow State University)、Shamil Maksyutov(National Institute for Environmental Studies)、Groisman Pavel(NC State University Research Scholar at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina, USA)

10:45 〜 11:00

[MIS05-07] Understanding the impact of climate change on nomadic communities based on community-engaged research of dzuds in Khövsgöl aimag

*Mariia Kuklina1、Andrey Petrov1、Vera Kuklina2、Enkh-Amgalan Sandag3、Uyemaa Gantulga2 (1.University of Northern Iowa、2.George Washington University、3.Mongolian Academy of Sciences)

キーワード:dzud, Khovsgol aimag, Mongolia, Local and Indigenous communities

Despite their minimal contributions to climate change, the livelihoods of pastoralists in Mongolia are highly exposed to its effects. Local and Indigenous communities are the first to witness climate change impacts and devise strategies for mitigation and adaptation. In addition, accurate forecasting based on local knowledge is needed for successful climate adaptation and mitigation planning. Therefore, learning from these communities is an important component of research on human-environment relations and climate change.

This work examines the impacts of climate change on nomadic communities, using the example of dzuds in Khövsgöl aimag. Khövsgöl aimag, with the largest proportion of protected lands and discontinuous permafrost, remains relatively untouched by industrial development, making it a key place to study climate-induced hazards. Khövsgöl has similarities with Arctic and Subarctic regions, which allows for the analysis of challenges specific for cold locales.

Dzud is the most prevalent hazard in Mongolia caused by climate change. It kills millions of cattle and reindeer and inflicts catastrophic damage on villages and nomads, with snow blocking roads and impeding access to supplies, medical care, and food for thousands of households. Based on interviews with herders, the authors collected data on pasture use, the impact of land use regulations and mitigation of existing hazards, and the environmental changes. Combining these results with an analysis of federal programs for dzud mitigation, existing quantitative pastureland use data, environmental, and socio-economic data on the impact of dzud (e.g. livestock losses, number of herder households affected) in Northern Mongolia, we discuss vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation practices of local and Indigenous communities in the face of climate-induced hazards.