日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会

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[E] 口頭発表

セッション記号 M (領域外・複数領域) » M-IS ジョイント

[M-IS05] Environmental, Socio-economic, and Climatic Changes in Northern Eurasia

2025年5月25日(日) 13:45 〜 15:15 展示場特設会場 (6) (幕張メッセ国際展示場 7・8ホール)

コンビーナ:Groisman Pavel(NC State University Research Scholar at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina, USA)、Maksyutov Shamil(National Institute for Environmental Studies)、Olchev Alexander(Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia)、Chairperson:Shamil Maksyutov(National Institute for Environmental Studies)、Groisman Pavel(NC State University Research Scholar at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina, USA)、Nadezhda Nikolaevna Voropai(Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences)

15:00 〜 15:15

[MIS05-18] Integral estimation of methane flux from the wetlands surface in southern part of Western Siberia based on the results of TerM simulation.

*Vasiliy Yurievich Bogomolov1,2,3Anna Ryazanova1、Artur Abbazov2 (1.Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences、2.Faculty of Geology and Geography of Tomsk State University, Russian Federation、3.Research Computing Center Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russian Federation)

キーワード: physics of the atmosphere, Numerical Simulations, methane emissions

Numerical experiments were carried out using the Earth's surface model TerM (IWM RAS-MSU) in a configuration for regional calculations. This model is a one-dimensional realization of heat and mass transfer in the soil along with radiation and heat balances on the surface, consistent with vegetation blocks, calculation of turbulent flows from the surface, emissions components of carbon balance, etc. As mentioned above, this model includes the necessary parameterizations related to the description of the specifics of the hydrology of the peatland. In particular, the parameterization of the diffusion coefficient in the saturated and unsaturated zone, the parameterization of the groundwater level with horizontal gradient runoff, which reproduces some average water level for the cell depending on precipitation, evaporation and horizontal transport.

The numerical experiment was conducted for the territory including the southern taiga part of the West Siberian Plain for a period of 30 years from 1990 to 2021. As input data for the description of soil structure and vegetation distribution were used:

1. for landuse - IKI RAS land cover map

2. for soil parameters - matched and refined GSDS soil database

3. for wetland distribution - map based on Global Peatland Map v.2.0 data

The verification shows that the model reproduces, on average, the characteristic values for the selected micro-landscapes both in individual cells and for the entire region as a whole, compared with both point measurements and spatial estimates.

An analysis of thirty-year trends in the methane flux, averaged over time and territory, shows that there is an increase in the methane flux, especially in June and September, for the swamp, which is a reflection of the general increase in temperature in this climatic zone, characteristic of the last 30 years. At the same time, in June, when the flow is minimal, the increase in methane flow is almost not noticeable.
This work is performed within framework of the IMCES project FWRG-2021-0004