1:45 PM - 2:07 PM
[AOS19-12] Challenges in Understanding and Predicting of Ocean Physical-Biogeochemical Changes
★Invited Papers
*Shoshiro Minobe1 (1. Graduate School of Science, Hokkaido University)
[E] Oral
A (Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences ) » A-OS Ocean Sciences & Ocean Environment
Wed. May 27, 2026 1:45 PM - 3:15 PM 201A (International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe)
Chairperson:Yamaguchi Ryohei(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Cheng Lijing(Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences), Kobayashi Hidetaka(Faculty of Science, The University of Toyama)
Multiscale ocean physical processes (heat, salinity, and circulation) substantially modulate ocean biogeochemistry and marine ecosystems, shaping carbon, dissolved oxygen, and nutrient distributions as well as biological productivity, community structure, and biodiversity. However, substantial uncertainties remain regarding how ocean physics and climate dynamics have evolved over the historical period and how they will respond to and feedback on a changing climate. Circulation-driven ocean heat uptake and redistribution also modulate biogeochemical processes such as stratification, carbon uptake, deoxygenation, and nutrient cycling, with cascading impacts on ecosystem functioning, trophic interactions, and the vulnerability of marine organisms to multiple stressors (i.e., warming, acidification, and deoxygenation).
Evaluating these vulnerabilities requires a holistic approach that integrates physics, biogeochemistry, and ecology, drawing on theory, observations, and modeling. Understanding the coupling between physical, biogeochemical, and ecological processes is therefore essential for predicting changes in biogeochemical cycles, ecosystem structure and function, and the services marine ecosystems provide.
This session invites comprehensive studies that examine how physical ocean systems and climate variability influence ocean biogeochemical cycles and marine ecosystems, spanning paleo, present-day, and future climates. We seek contributions that advance understanding of physical controls, interactions, and feedback. We particularly encourage submissions that leverage observational datasets, historical reconstructions, modeling and model-observation synthesis, proxy records, technological developments, and operational applications, as well as innovative approaches that foster cross-disciplinary collaboration and help communicate scientific outcomes to the broader public.
1:45 PM - 2:07 PM
*Shoshiro Minobe1 (1. Graduate School of Science, Hokkaido University)
2:07 PM - 2:30 PM
*Justin Leonard Penn1, Thomas Weber2, Clara Fuchsman3, Keisuke Inomura4, Curtis A Deutsch5,6 (1. Advanced Institute for Marine Ecosystem Change, Tohoku University, 2. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Rochester, 3. University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory, 4. Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island, 5. Department of Geosciences, Princeton University, 6. High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton University)
2:30 PM - 2:45 PM
*Takamitsu Ito1, Hernan E Garcia2, Zhankun Wang2, Lijing Cheng3, Juan Du4, Christopher J Roach5, Yuntao Zhou6, Jonathan Sharp7, Siv K Lauvset8, Shoshiro Minobe9, Seth Bushinsky10, Bin Lu11, Giangiacomo Navarra12, Jin Qi13 (1. Georgia Institute of Technology, 2. NOAA/NESDIS, National Centers for Environmental Information, 3. State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, 4. International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, 5. Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, 6. School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 7. Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean, and Ecosystem Studies, University of Washington, 8. NORCE Research AS, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, 9. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Faculty of Science, Hokkaido University, 10. Department of Oceanography, School of Earth and Space Science and Technology, University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, 11. School of Information Science and Electronic Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 12. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Department of Geoscience, Princeton University, 13. School of Earth Sciences, Zhejiang University)
2:45 PM - 3:00 PM
*Samar Khatiwala1 (1. Waseda University)
3:00 PM - 3:15 PM
*Yohei Takano1, Dani Jones2, Anna Katavouta3, Richard G Williams4, Gaël Forget5, Jonathan Maitland Lauderdale5, David Roy Munday1, Vassil Roussenov4, Peter Brown6 (1. British Antarctic Survey, 2. University of Michigan, Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research, 3. National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, 4. University of Liverpool, 5. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 6. National Oceanography Center, Southampton)
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