[M-AG40] Renewable Energy

[MAG40-P05] Predictability of Advance detection of Forecast Busts on surface solar radiation using MEPS ensemble spread

*Fumichika Uno¹, Toshiyuki Nakaegawa², Hiroaki Naoe², Takeyoshi Kato³ (1. Nihon University, College of Humanities and Sciences, 2. Japan Meteorological Agency, Meteorological Research Institute, 3. Nagoya Univerisity, Institute of Materials and Systems for Sustainability)

Keywords:Global solar radiation forecasting, Meso-scale ensemble forecasting, Forecast busts