JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2026

Presentation information

[E] Poster

S (Solid Earth Sciences ) » S-SS Seismology

[S-SS04] Seismicity

Tue. May 26, 2026 5:15 PM - 7:00 PM Poster Hall (Exhibition Hall 7&8, Makuhari Messe)

5:15 PM - 7:00 PM

[SSS04-P05] Natural time analysis of seismicity before M8-class earthquakes – Is κ1=0.07 a precursor?

*Kei Katsumata1 (1. Institute of Seismology and Volcanology, Hokkaido University)

Keywords:Natural time, earthquake prediction, earthquake forecasting, alarm fraction